Re: 5.0 or greater
Posted by glen on February 19, 2006 at 12:47:47:

Hello Barbara,

Maybe Roger could do a search of this. Another problem is the lack of 6 mags in the southern part of the state. I did a study on the San Jacinto, and the average hiatus is about 9 years for 6 mags on that fault zone. I think we are at about 20 years now, given the last 6 mags were Elmore and Superstition 6.6 Mw in 1987. I like your question. Does a lack of 5 mags indicate a larger quake?
Just wondering like you are.

glen

FILE CREATED: Fri Feb 17 15:15:08 2006
Geographic Grid Search Earthquakes= 15
Latitude: 36.000N - 31.000N
Longitude: 110.000W - 120.000W
Catalog Used: PDE
Magnitude Range: 6.0 - 10.0
Data Selection: Historical & Preliminary Data


CAT YEAR MO DA ORIG TIME LAT LONG DEP MAGNITUDE IEFM DTSVNWG DIST
NFPO km
TFS

PDE 1979 10 15 231654.50 32.63 -115.33 12 7.00 MLBRK 9CX. .......
PDE 1979 10 16 065843.20 33.02 -115.58 5 6.10 MLBRK .F . .......
PDE 1980 06 09 032818.90 32.22 -114.99 5 6.40 Ms GS .C . .......
PDE 1981 04 26 120928.40 33.13 -115.65 6 6.30 MLBRK 7D C .......
PDE 1986 07 08 092044.50 34.00 -116.61 12 6.10 Mw01028 7CFM ......S
PDE 1987 10 01 144220 34.06 -118.08 10 6.10 MLBRK 8CFM .......
PDE 1987 11 24 015414.51 33.08 -115.78 4 6.50 MLBRK 6CFM .......
PDE 1987 11 24 131556.40 33.01 -115.84 2 6.70 MLBRK 7CFM F......
PDE 1990 02 28 234336.60 34.14 -117.70 5 6.20 MLBRK 7C M .......
PDE 1992 04 23 045023.22 33.96 -116.32 12 6.30 Ms GS 7CFM .......
PDE 1992 06 28 115734.12 34.20 -116.44 1 7.60 Ms GS 9CFM F.S....
PDE 1992 06 28 150530.70 34.20 -116.83 5 6.90 MeGS 8CFM ......S
PDE 1994 01 17 123055.39 34.21 -118.54 18 6.80 Ms GS 9CFM U.....M
PDE 1995 09 20 232736.27 35.76 -117.64 5 6.10 MLBRK 5F M .......
PDE 1999 10 16 094644.13 34.59 -116.27 0 7.40 Ms GS 7CFM F......



Follow Ups:
     ● Re: 5.0 or greater - glen  12:57:46 - 2/19/2006  (33904)  (2)
        ● short answer: we don't think so - John Vidale  14:54:02 - 2/19/2006  (33913)  (2)
           ● Re: short answer: we don't think so - Petra  17:23:02 - 2/19/2006  (33918)  (1)
              ● if I read you right - John Vidale  20:04:58 - 2/19/2006  (33922)  (1)
                 ● Re: if I read you right - Not Really - Petra  20:32:17 - 2/19/2006  (33925)  (1)
                    ● chatting here is a hobby - John Vidale  21:14:22 - 2/19/2006  (33927)  (1)
                       ● I'm Sorry, You're Under-appreciated. - Petra  05:19:24 - 2/20/2006  (33935)  (1)
                          ● Re: I'm Sorry, You're Under-appreciated. - John Vidale  06:58:46 - 2/20/2006  (33936)  (1)
                             ● Suppression of Information - Petra  12:06:17 - 2/20/2006  (33947)  (1)
                                ● difference of opinion - John Vidale  13:31:56 - 2/20/2006  (33966)  (2)
                                   ● Re: difference of opinion - Russell  14:29:57 - 2/20/2006  (33973)  (1)
                                      ● Re: difference of opinion - Don in Hollister  15:14:02 - 2/20/2006  (33980)  (0)
                                   ● Re: difference of opinion - Jim W.  14:07:07 - 2/20/2006  (33972)  (0)
           ● Re: short answer: we don't think so - glen  15:58:42 - 2/19/2006  (33917)  (1)
              ● how near in the future? - John Vidale  20:15:43 - 2/19/2006  (33923)  (1)
                 ● Re: how near in the future? - glen  21:30:45 - 2/19/2006  (33928)  (1)
                    ● yes, 6+ likely to come sooner - John Vidale  21:33:20 - 2/19/2006  (33929)  (1)
                       ● Agreed. Thanks. n/t - glen  22:11:26 - 2/19/2006  (33932)  (0)
        ● Re: 5.0 or greater - Don in Hollister  13:01:51 - 2/19/2006  (33907)  (1)
           ● Re: 5.0 or greater - Barbara  07:14:07 - 2/20/2006  (33937)  (1)
              ● Re: 5.0 or greater - Don in Hollister  11:02:19 - 2/20/2006  (33940)  (1)
                 ● Re: 5.0 or greater - Barbara  22:37:00 - 2/20/2006  (34019)  (2)
                    ● Re: 5.0 or greater - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande  07:43:57 - 2/21/2006  (34027)  (1)
                       ● Re: 5.0 or greater - Barbara  19:11:45 - 2/21/2006  (34044)  (0)
                    ● Re: 5.0 or greater - glen  00:13:07 - 2/21/2006  (34022)  (0)