EDF,

I'd like their method to work.

However, it is hard to take seriously a scheme that claims to identify days to months in advance individual earthquakes as small as magnitude 2's. Individual 3.5's are claimed to be predicted all around the world.

The scoring is also quirky, unpredicted events are not penalized, events only need to be with 100-200 km of the prediction, and missing by 4 magnitude units (calling for a 3.5 and getting a 7.5, for instance) can still result in a nearly perfect score.

The only way to judge their efforts is when they show what their predictions were in detail for the test period, or better still when they predict some future events.

We'll know soon.

John