PREDICTION - Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+)
Posted by Don In Hollister on April 15, 2002 at 20:45:04:

Magnitude: 6.0Ml+
From: 04/19/2002UTC - To: 05/14/2002UTC
Location: Bay Area
Lat: 37.8N - Long: 122.6W - Range: 65Km

Hi All. Well it’s time for me to climb out on the end of the that limb again.

We should start seeing an increase in quake activity starting is Southern California on or about 04/17/2002. This will be with quakes 3.0Ml and larger. There could be a 4.5Ml in there somewhere. This activity will continue moving north towards the Bay Area.

Activity should pick up in the Bay Area on or about 04/21/2002 and last until 05/12/2002. The magnitude for the quake will be 6.0Ml+. It could occur almost anywhere in the Bay Area. This is the main problem when you have this much data occurring at the same time. You could have a large quake anywhere within a 65Km radius, or because of the large amount of data in a given area it could cancel itself out.

There are two locations and two time periods for this quake to occur. One is at 37.7N/122.5W. This is about 4Km west of Daly City, California. Should occur on 05/07/2002 +/- 2 days.

The other location is at 37.8N/122.6W. This is about 8Km south of Bolinas, California. Should occur on 05/09/2002 +/- two days.

Here is the listing for the Bay Area. The magnitudes listed for each quake is based on that being the only data in the area at that time. However as you can see this is not the case during this time period.

38.4 -122.4 4 21 2002 2.0-3.1 Yountville/Napa, CA
37.2 -121.6 4 23 2002 2.3-3.3 Livermore, CA
38.0 -123.0 4 23 2002 2.5-4.0 San Francisco, CA
38.4 -122.6 4 24 2002 2.0-3.0 Petaluma/Santa Rosa/Calistoga,
CA
38.0 -123.0 4 24 2002 2.5-3.5 San Francisco, CA
37.1 -121.8 4 26 2002 2.5-4.0 Aptos, CA G+
37.3 -121.7 4 28 2002 2.0-3.3 Livermore, CA
37.5 -121.6 4 30 2002 2.0-3.0 Livermore, CA
37.9 -122.7 5 05 2002 2.0-3.0 San Francisco, CA
37.6 -121.8 5 06 2002 2.0-3.0 Livermore, CA
37.7 -122.5 5 07 2002 2.0-3.2 Berkeley/Concord, CA
38.1 -122.2 5 08 2002 2.0-3.0 Berkeley/Concord, CA
37.8 -122.6 5 09 2002 2.0-3.0 San Francisco, CA

Because of the increase in the instability of this area the window will open on 04/19/2002 and will close on 05/14/2002. The radius for this will be 65Km with the center of the radius at 37.8N/122.6W.

Now all there is left to do is see how right I am, or how wrong I am. Take Care…Don in creepy town



Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - 2cents  20:16:09 - 4/16/2002  (14946)  (1)
        ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Don In Hollister  20:46:48 - 4/16/2002  (14949)  (1)
           ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - 2cents  12:50:56 - 4/17/2002  (14961)  (0)
     ● Watch abnormal animal activities - R.Shanmugasundaram  10:54:25 - 4/16/2002  (14931)  (1)
        ● Re: Watch abnormal animal activities - Don In Hollister  12:26:15 - 4/16/2002  (14934)  (0)
     ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Others follow suit - Tony  00:17:25 - 4/16/2002  (14924)  (1)
        ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Others follow suit - Lowell  01:47:51 - 4/16/2002  (14926)  (1)
           ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Others follow suit - chris in suburbia  04:31:48 - 4/16/2002  (14927)  (1)
              ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Others follow suit - Lowell  08:47:00 - 4/16/2002  (14928)  (1)
                 ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Others follow suit - Mary C.  09:23:21 - 4/16/2002  (14929)  (1)
                    ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Others follow suit - Lowell  10:33:45 - 4/16/2002  (14930)  (1)
                       ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Others follow suit - Mary C.  13:30:05 - 4/16/2002  (14935)  (1)
                          ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Others follow suit - Lowell  15:01:10 - 4/16/2002  (14937)  (1)
                             ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Others follow suit - Roger Hunter  15:23:54 - 4/16/2002  (14939)  (1)
                                ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Others follow suit - Mary C.  16:38:01 - 4/16/2002  (14942)  (2)
                                   ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Others follow suit - Canie  23:42:37 - 4/16/2002  (14956)  (0)
                                   ● It was just an observation . . . . - Tony  20:39:19 - 4/16/2002  (14948)  (0)
     ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Todd  22:46:54 - 4/15/2002  (14923)  (1)
        ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Cathryn  00:20:51 - 4/16/2002  (14925)  (1)
           ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Todd  20:24:41 - 4/16/2002  (14947)  (2)
              ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Cathryn  11:30:01 - 4/18/2002  (14999)  (0)
              ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Cathryn  22:37:57 - 4/17/2002  (14976)  (0)
     ● Re: Bay Area Earthquake Advisory (6.0+) - Petra Challus  21:56:41 - 4/15/2002  (14921)  (0)