PREDICTION - Berkland biography
Posted by John Vidale on February 17, 2006 at 04:44:59:

Magnitude:
From: - To:
Location:
Lat: Los Angeles - Long: - Range: km

I think the reviews of Berkland's recent biography are fun, as they include an effusive commentary by Jim himself.

I added a review myself, but am posting this partly as a mea culpa for an omission in my comments. I pointed out the statements by Jim that are most at odds with my point of view as a scientist, but forgot to mention the tides, where my disagreement with syzygy is likely to be harder to explain to Amazon readers.

Briefly, my own work finds that the largest tides can affect the timing of earthquakes, but such large tides only are found in a few places and at a few times, none on the west coast of the US. For most earthquakes, I see no noticeable influence of tides.

Jim claims, to the degree that one can tell what he claims, at least 3 to 4 times higher rates of earthquakes in his windows both locally and globally, which simply is not true.

Perhaps I should have added my objections about Jim's tidal claims in my review, but it seemed too complicated for such a short piece of literature. However, for earthquake prediction affectionados such as read and post here, I thought I should give a more complete statement.



Follow Ups:
     ● You're A Sneaky Pete - Petra  20:06:41 - 2/17/2006  (33852)  (1)
        ● it's a prediction - John Vidale  21:11:31 - 2/17/2006  (33857)  (1)
           ● Re: it's a prediction OOoooo - Petra  22:03:20 - 2/17/2006  (33860)  (1)
              ● comment re JOB syzygy comments - John Vidale  19:31:02 - 2/18/2006  (33872)  (3)
                 ● John Question - Petra  21:32:17 - 2/18/2006  (33880)  (1)
                    ● lots of reasons for quakes - John Vidale  21:46:13 - 2/18/2006  (33881)  (1)
                       ● Re: lots of reasons for quakes - Thank You - Petra  23:09:41 - 2/18/2006  (33886)  (0)
                 ● You Have Seen This - glen  21:06:47 - 2/18/2006  (33877)  (1)
                    ● good link - John Vidale  21:14:56 - 2/18/2006  (33878)  (0)
                 ● The link and one more comment - John Vidale  19:43:29 - 2/18/2006  (33873)  (2)
                    ● Re: The link and one more comment - glen  20:49:17 - 2/18/2006  (33876)  (1)
                       ● I see your point of view - John Vidale  21:19:00 - 2/18/2006  (33879)  (1)
                          ● Just for Kicks - glen  22:18:36 - 2/18/2006  (33883)  (2)
                             ● I see Berkland deleted you on his board - John Vidale  16:37:13 - 2/20/2006  (33991)  (1)
                                ● Re: I see Berkland deleted you on his board - glen  18:14:55 - 2/20/2006  (33997)  (2)
                                   ● nice search engine on Syzygy - John Vidale  19:01:35 - 2/20/2006  (34002)  (1)
                                      ● Re: nice search engine on Syzygy - glen  19:13:56 - 2/20/2006  (34008)  (1)
                                         ● Mr. Bopp? - John Vidale  19:43:09 - 2/20/2006  (34012)  (1)
                                            ● Re: Mr. Bopp? - glen  19:55:06 - 2/20/2006  (34014)  (0)
                                   ● must have missed that - John Vidale  18:55:18 - 2/20/2006  (34000)  (0)
                             ● brings back memories - John Vidale  22:34:40 - 2/18/2006  (33884)  (0)
                    ● and the most relevant link - John Vidale  19:45:58 - 2/18/2006  (33874)  (0)
     ● Re: Berkland biography - Roger Hunter  06:40:37 - 2/17/2006  (33843)  (2)
        ● Re: Berkland biography - Don in Hollister  11:05:45 - 2/17/2006  (33845)  (2)
           ● Re: Berkland biography - Cal  20:47:55 - 2/17/2006  (33855)  (1)
              ● Re: Berkland biography - Don in Hollister  21:00:36 - 2/17/2006  (33856)  (1)
                 ● Re: Berkland biography - Cal  21:49:53 - 2/17/2006  (33859)  (1)
                    ● Re: Berkland biography - Don in Hollister  22:24:58 - 2/17/2006  (33861)  (0)
           ● Re: Berkland biography - Roger Hunter  11:34:33 - 2/17/2006  (33846)  (1)
              ● Re: Berkland biography - Petra  19:56:14 - 2/17/2006  (33851)  (1)
                 ● Re: Berkland biography - Roger Hunter  23:03:40 - 2/17/2006  (33862)  (0)
        ● statistics not her strong point - John Vidale  08:36:17 - 2/17/2006  (33844)  (1)
           ● Re: statistics not her strong point - Cal  11:00:07 - 2/18/2006  (33868)  (2)
              ● Re: statistics not her strong point - Skywise  18:05:18 - 2/18/2006  (33871)  (1)
                 ● Re: statistics not her strong point - Cal  20:38:42 - 2/18/2006  (33875)  (1)
                    ● Re: statistics not her strong point - Skywise  22:10:43 - 2/18/2006  (33882)  (1)
                       ● Re: statistics not her strong point - Cal  23:35:22 - 2/18/2006  (33889)  (1)
                          ● Re: statistics not her strong point - Skywise  13:54:10 - 2/19/2006  (33910)  (2)
                             ● Re: statistics not her strong point - Cal  17:25:57 - 2/19/2006  (33919)  (0)
                             ● Re: Brian's weak point - Cal  15:45:07 - 2/19/2006  (33916)  (1)
                                ● Re: Brian's weak point - Skywise  20:20:42 - 2/19/2006  (33924)  (1)
                                   ● Re: Brian's weak point - Cal  11:22:04 - 2/20/2006  (33942)  (1)
                                      ● Re: Brian's weak point - Skywise  15:06:02 - 2/20/2006  (33979)  (0)
              ● that's not my objection - John Vidale  12:57:44 - 2/18/2006  (33870)  (0)
     ● Re: Berkland biography - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande  05:01:56 - 2/17/2006  (33842)  (0)