Hi Roger and Chris. I don’t wish to continue doing what it is that I’m doing. That would mean that no matter how good I’m able to get the time and location of the expected quake I would never really know the magnitude of that quake. The magnitude I use is based on the most probable quake to occur. In other words an M=3.0 quake is more likely to occur then an M=6.0 quake.

Everyone knows that the Bay Area is going to have a major quake, but no one knows when that quake will occur. I had hoped the deformation sites would tell us, but after Parkfield I sort of have my doubts. The data I use tells me the most likely location for a quake to occur. It never tells me the magnitude of that quake.

I can’t and won’t divulge the nature of the data because it isn’t mine. I learned what it is and how it is derived. I have learned that it isn’t as accurate as what I was receiving, but each time I use it I get a little better. Sort of like learning as you go. Take Care…Don in creepy town