Seismic activity expected
Posted by EQF on December 13, 2003 at 11:06:58:

A particularly strong earthquake warning type signal was detected earlier today at:

2003/12/13/ 10:23:00 UTC

According to my calculations, at that time the sun was above 23E and the moon was above 102W.

A the time of this posting I am in the process of running that signal along with some others through my data evaluation procedures.

Beginning around November 7, 2003 there were several weeks of unusually strong earthquake warning type signals generated. They followed a lengthy period of quiet. And today's signal also follows a shorter quiet period.

My latest theories propose that virtually all of these signals are linked with earthquake fault zone activities. I believe that I was able to conclusively link some of the ones detected in November with earthquakes out in the Atlantic Ocean around that time.

It is also possible that strong solar and geomagnetic storm activity are amplifying some of the earthquake warning signals and making them appear to be for very powerful approaching earthquakes. There were several intense solar storms at the end of October and in November. And according to what I have been reading lately, powerful solar storms can have effects which will last for as long as a month. It is conceivable that today's signal was linked with that powerful November 20, 2003 solar storm.

At times the expected earthquakes occur soon after the warning signals are detected. This happened in January of 2001 with both the destructive El Salvador and India earthquakes. At other times such as with the signals detected in November there may be a lengthy time delay before the expected earthquake occurs.

Finally, in an effort to avoid the usual responses to these notes which insist that the only good earthquake forecast is one which is completely accurate regarding time, location, and magnitude I will remind people about the following: There are probably thousands and perhaps even tens of thousands of people around the world who are involved with forecasting the weather. And many millions and probably billions of dollars have been spent over the years doing weather forecasting research. Yet we still cannot generate weather forecasts which are accurate 100% of the time. If you somehow believe that one person or a small group of people should by themselves with little or no funding be able to predict earthquakes with complete accuracy, something which might be as difficult as forecasting the weather, then you are not being very realistic.

The science of interpreting these warning type signals is still in its early stages.

These are personal opinions.


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Seismic activity expected - EQF  05:40:23 - 12/14/2003  (20425)  (1)
        ● Re: Seismic activity expected - chris in suburbia  06:11:43 - 12/14/2003  (20427)  (2)
           ● Re: Seismic activity expected - Tony  19:41:31 - 12/16/2003  (20462)  (1)
              ● Re: Seismic activity expected - chris in suburbia  04:48:08 - 12/17/2003  (20464)  (2)
                 ● Re: Seismic activity expected - Tony  21:15:37 - 12/18/2003  (20501)  (1)
                    ● paradigms - chris in suburbia  04:45:29 - 12/19/2003  (20507)  (0)
                 ● Re: Seismic activity expected - EQF  10:15:40 - 12/17/2003  (20467)  (1)
                    ● Re: Seismic activity expected - Roger Hunter  11:13:12 - 12/17/2003  (20469)  (1)
                       ● Re: Seismic activity expected - EQF  06:41:41 - 12/18/2003  (20483)  (1)
                          ● can't run until you can walk - John Vidale  08:53:23 - 12/18/2003  (20484)  (1)
                             ● Try considering a different project - EQF  14:49:10 - 12/18/2003  (20492)  (1)
                                ● just posting to agree with Roger and Chris - John Vidale  21:56:01 - 12/18/2003  (20504)  (1)
                                   ● Re: just posting to agree with Roger and Chris - Don in Hollister  22:18:58 - 12/18/2003  (20505)  (0)
           ● Re: Seismic activity expected - EQF  12:49:10 - 12/15/2003  (20450)  (0)