Re: Taiwan earthquake 6.7 forecast
Posted by Canie on January 02, 2001 at 21:02:04:

Martin - I'm really not trying to badger you - but trying to put things into perspective - you have predicted quakes but you also have predicted an extraordinary amount of quakes that haven't happened - If I had packed up every time you've stated just a california quake I'd be living out of boxes! (well - I did move recently and there are still a number of boxes over here)

While you might have hit Taiwan - you missed many others and predicted catastrophes that never occurred... That's the problem with this predicting stuff - its like using a shotgun to hit a mouse!

All I can say is keep trying - but look yourself at the archives - what is your true hit rate when you count all the quakes you've predicted here and over at Syzygy? I haven't kept track but its all in the archives...

I just have to comment, and I'm sure the same with Roger and Michael, when you start patting yourself on the back too hard - But - keep up the work!

Canie


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Calif. Big E.Q. past forecasts... - martin  21:32:25 - 1/2/2001  (4316)  (2)
        ● Re: Calif. Big E.Q. past forecasts... - Cathryn  22:43:55 - 1/2/2001  (4318)  (4)
           ● Re: Calif. Big E.Q. past forecasts... - Canie  15:51:08 - 1/3/2001  (4358)  (1)
              ● Canie and Michael - Cathryn  22:35:43 - 1/3/2001  (4373)  (1)
                 ● Re: Canie and Michael - Canie  13:05:21 - 1/4/2001  (4380)  (1)
                    ● Re: Canie and Michael - Cathryn  13:44:57 - 1/4/2001  (4382)  (0)
           ● Re: smoking - Dennis Gentry of Santa Clarita  10:28:30 - 1/3/2001  (4338)  (1)
              ● Re: smoking sure sucks, agree! - martin@n.i.c.e.  13:51:27 - 1/3/2001  (4348)  (1)
                 ● Re: smoking sure sucks, agree! - Elaine  15:11:41 - 1/3/2001  (4354)  (1)
                    ● Re: smoking sure sucks, agree! - Cathryn  22:07:10 - 1/3/2001  (4372)  (0)
           ● Tone & Women - Michael  09:28:31 - 1/3/2001  (4333)  (0)
           ● Re: Calif. Big E.Q. past forecasts... - Don in Hollister  00:38:35 - 1/3/2001  (4322)  (2)
              ● Re: Calif. Big E.Q. past forecasts... - michael  09:29:42 - 1/3/2001  (4334)  (0)
              ● Re: great quote! - martin@n.i.c.e.  01:22:45 - 1/3/2001  (4323)  (1)
                 ● Re: great quote! - Cathryn  08:47:47 - 1/3/2001  (4328)  (1)
                    ● My one big EQ prediction - Cathryn  21:59:56 - 1/3/2001  (4371)  (0)
        ● Re: Calif. Big E.Q. past forecasts... - Canie  22:13:03 - 1/2/2001  (4317)  (2)
           ● Re:E.Q. forecaster's past ... - martin@n.i.c.e.  01:38:26 - 1/3/2001  (4324)  (0)
           ● Re: Calif. Big E.Q. past forecasts... - Petra Challus  23:20:19 - 1/2/2001  (4320)  (2)
              ● Education - Michael  09:36:09 - 1/3/2001  (4335)  (0)
              ● Re: Calif. Big E.Q. past forecasts... - Cathryn  23:25:05 - 1/2/2001  (4321)  (0)