I haven't posted for big ones in Cal more than a couple/few times, but I will soon summarize last years record, hits and misses and then I'll know as well as you just how many misses I've had. Given my mood lately, I thank you for not kicking me off the boards. I never should have asked for outside help from evaluators, just made me frustrated. Every quake I predict I have on paper as well as every communication worth printing. And this site is easy to pull up one's full postings with the search, it's why I use the ...mb. thing, its a nametag that can be located easily on all my communications. I'm sure happy to see your prediction success. For a prediction board there are few predictors. Lots of phenomena discussions though. Thanks again for the venue I'll try to keep my head on straight. It's my second day quitting smoking. I see the reputation of forecasting as a whole in danger with people seeing too much controversy about not much substance. People want to believe, and do believe me. I'd prefer to keep it that way. Most of the California quakes that I missed were not big enough to worry about, esp. not move. I think some people are jealous or just don't want to believe that many earthquakes can be warned of. It's only my first year doing forecasts and as a grade eight dropout with not a day of classroom geology, I am trying pretty hard as you kindly acknowledge. I have spent twenty years home schooling in remote communities like Tofino, and it's a wonder I can even spell seismology. Watch me, I'll get better with age like a good wine. Couldn't even type a year and a half ago and now its 30 w.p.m. with two fingers! Best wishes and I HAVE lived in a cardboard box a few nights of my 35 yrs...mb.