our statement
Posted by John Vidale on January 21, 2005 at 07:05:12:

Rate-and-state theory predicts a nucleation phase lasting weeks or longer. Our precise measurement of the lack of correlation between earthquakes and tides in California supports rate-and-state theories. Therefore our result gives some hope to those who think earthquakes might be predictable days or weeks ahead of time.

Which part of this chain of logic do you not understand? Or are you claiming comparison of observations of the time of earthquakes with the tides at those times to test a specific model of the nucleation of earthquakes is "not a hypothesis, let alone a theory"?

This is the kind of data-theory comparison by which science progresses.


Follow Ups:
     ● The ebb and flow of untestable ideas  - Ara  06:05:50 - 1/22/2005  (24510)  (2)
        ● angels dancing on the head of a pin - John Vidale  08:02:30 - 1/22/2005  (24512)  (1)
           ● Pin heads dancing with angels - Ara  09:39:08 - 1/22/2005  (24513)  (2)
              ● you're drifted into offensive remarks - John Vidale  16:45:19 - 1/22/2005  (24518)  (1)
                 ● You have drifted into excuses - Ara  18:17:21 - 1/22/2005  (24519)  (0)
              ● Re: Pin heads dancing with angels - Canie  11:10:35 - 1/22/2005  (24516)  (1)
                 ● On the criticism - Ara  18:33:04 - 1/22/2005  (24520)  (1)
                    ● really? - John Vidale  18:54:27 - 1/22/2005  (24521)  (1)
                       ● Oh come on.  - Ara  20:45:25 - 1/22/2005  (24522)  (1)
                          ● I get it - John Vidale  21:00:09 - 1/22/2005  (24523)  (1)
                             ● I did not get it - Ara  01:56:43 - 1/23/2005  (24526)  (0)
        ● grammar correction - Ara  06:18:02 - 1/22/2005  (24511)  (1)
           ● Insults - Cathryn  08:09:02 - 1/23/2005  (24533)  (2)
              ● Aggravation - Ara  23:50:27 - 1/23/2005  (24558)  (1)
                 ● clear illustration of Ara's clarity of thought - John Vidale  01:50:28 - 1/24/2005  (24559)  (1)
                    ● Ara's clear clarity - Ara  02:27:28 - 1/24/2005  (24560)  (1)
                       ● Re: Ara's clear clarity - Cathryn  08:07:11 - 1/24/2005  (24561)  (1)
                          ● Re:respect - Ara  16:50:40 - 1/24/2005  (24567)  (1)
                             ● Re:respect - Cathryn  19:42:29 - 1/24/2005  (24573)  (1)
                                ● very clear - John Vidale  21:26:32 - 1/24/2005  (24577)  (1)
                                   ● Re: very clear - Cathryn  04:45:57 - 1/25/2005  (24585)  (0)
              ● thanks - John Vidale  08:32:51 - 1/23/2005  (24541)  (1)
                 ● Re: thanks - Cathryn  08:44:13 - 1/23/2005  (24542)  (0)
     ● For John And Ara. Speculation And Theory - Don in Hollister  13:03:06 - 1/21/2005  (24505)  (2)
        ● Re: For John And Ara. Speculation And Theory - Cathryn  08:18:45 - 1/23/2005  (24537)  (0)
        ● You left out hypothesis n/t - Roger Hunter  13:11:50 - 1/21/2005  (24506)  (1)
           ● Re: You left out hypothesis n/t - Canie  17:53:15 - 1/21/2005  (24508)  (2)
              ● Re: You left out hypothesis n/t - Cathryn  08:22:53 - 1/23/2005  (24538)  (0)
              ● Re: You left out hypothesis n/t - Roger Hunter  20:20:31 - 1/21/2005  (24509)  (1)
                 ● Re: You left out hypothesis n/t - Cathryn  08:25:48 - 1/23/2005  (24539)  (0)