in search of quibbling contradiction
Posted by John Vidale on January 20, 2005 at 21:58:36:

The lack of a strong earthquake-tide correlation indicates there is some precursory deformation, as suggested by rate-and-state-friction, that is more important than the tectonic loading and tidal stresses in the last few days before failure. This is the reasoning behind our statement, with which few who are familiar with rock mechanic would argue.

And the main point here is that there are no observations that require precursory phenomenon we have a ghost of a chance of observing. There may be, but there also may not be such observables.

"seems to serve no other purpose than PR" is a rather insulting way to state what seems like a misunderstanding.


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: in search of quibbling contradiction - Cathryn  06:47:58 - 1/23/2005  (24528)  (1)
        ● have a favorite reference? - John Vidale  08:12:11 - 1/23/2005  (24535)  (1)
           ● Actually, yes - Cathryn  09:07:15 - 1/23/2005  (24545)  (1)
              ● there were foreshocks - John Vidale  10:28:01 - 1/23/2005  (24556)  (1)
                 ● confused Haicheng with Tangshan - Cathryn  10:41:34 - 1/23/2005  (24557)  (0)
     ● Not quibbling at all - Ara  01:10:59 - 1/21/2005  (24501)  (1)
        ● our statement - John Vidale  07:05:12 - 1/21/2005  (24503)  (2)
           ● The ebb and flow of untestable ideas  - Ara  06:05:50 - 1/22/2005  (24510)  (2)
              ● angels dancing on the head of a pin - John Vidale  08:02:30 - 1/22/2005  (24512)  (1)
                 ● Pin heads dancing with angels - Ara  09:39:08 - 1/22/2005  (24513)  (2)
                    ● you're drifted into offensive remarks - John Vidale  16:45:19 - 1/22/2005  (24518)  (1)
                       ● You have drifted into excuses - Ara  18:17:21 - 1/22/2005  (24519)  (0)
                    ● Re: Pin heads dancing with angels - Canie  11:10:35 - 1/22/2005  (24516)  (1)
                       ● On the criticism - Ara  18:33:04 - 1/22/2005  (24520)  (1)
                          ● really? - John Vidale  18:54:27 - 1/22/2005  (24521)  (1)
                             ● Oh come on.  - Ara  20:45:25 - 1/22/2005  (24522)  (1)
                                ● I get it - John Vidale  21:00:09 - 1/22/2005  (24523)  (1)
                                   ● I did not get it - Ara  01:56:43 - 1/23/2005  (24526)  (0)
              ● grammar correction - Ara  06:18:02 - 1/22/2005  (24511)  (1)
                 ● Insults - Cathryn  08:09:02 - 1/23/2005  (24533)  (2)
                    ● Aggravation - Ara  23:50:27 - 1/23/2005  (24558)  (1)
                       ● clear illustration of Ara's clarity of thought - John Vidale  01:50:28 - 1/24/2005  (24559)  (1)
                          ● Ara's clear clarity - Ara  02:27:28 - 1/24/2005  (24560)  (1)
                             ● Re: Ara's clear clarity - Cathryn  08:07:11 - 1/24/2005  (24561)  (1)
                                ● Re:respect - Ara  16:50:40 - 1/24/2005  (24567)  (1)
                                   ● Re:respect - Cathryn  19:42:29 - 1/24/2005  (24573)  (1)
                                      ● very clear - John Vidale  21:26:32 - 1/24/2005  (24577)  (1)
                                         ● Re: very clear - Cathryn  04:45:57 - 1/25/2005  (24585)  (0)
                    ● thanks - John Vidale  08:32:51 - 1/23/2005  (24541)  (1)
                       ● Re: thanks - Cathryn  08:44:13 - 1/23/2005  (24542)  (0)
           ● For John And Ara. Speculation And Theory - Don in Hollister  13:03:06 - 1/21/2005  (24505)  (2)
              ● Re: For John And Ara. Speculation And Theory - Cathryn  08:18:45 - 1/23/2005  (24537)  (0)
              ● You left out hypothesis n/t - Roger Hunter  13:11:50 - 1/21/2005  (24506)  (1)
                 ● Re: You left out hypothesis n/t - Canie  17:53:15 - 1/21/2005  (24508)  (2)
                    ● Re: You left out hypothesis n/t - Cathryn  08:22:53 - 1/23/2005  (24538)  (0)
                    ● Re: You left out hypothesis n/t - Roger Hunter  20:20:31 - 1/21/2005  (24509)  (1)
                       ● Re: You left out hypothesis n/t - Cathryn  08:25:48 - 1/23/2005  (24539)  (0)
     ● The Crest of the Wave - Petra  22:41:25 - 1/20/2005  (24500)  (0)