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EQF's prediction program |
EQF; Here's the problem as I see it. You believe that particular sun-moon angles can act as triggers for faults loaded to the failure point (nearly). Let's say you are correct for the sake of argument. You still can't predict quakes with it. You don't know the stress state of the faults. If you did, you could predict the quake without your trigger fairly well, good enough to save lives. A trigger could only have a small effect on the timing of a quake because it's a small force added to a HUGE force, the last straw as it were. And if the trigger pops up without the fault being fully loaded, nothing happens so your false alarm rate will destroy your credibility. Roger Follow Ups: ● Re: EQF's prediction program - EQF 10:08:55 - 7/17/2004 (22173) (1) ● EQF's prediction program - Roger Hunter 11:57:47 - 7/17/2004 (22178) (1) ● Re: EQF's prediction program - EQF 01:33:50 - 7/18/2004 (22181) (0) ● Re: EQF's prediction program - Don in Hollister 10:08:09 - 7/17/2004 (22172) (2) ● Sorry for the interruption.. - R.Shanmugasundaram 10:56:13 - 7/17/2004 (22175) (1) ● Re: Sorry for the interruption.. - EQF 01:33:44 - 7/18/2004 (22180) (0) ● Re: EQF's prediction program - EQF 10:19:13 - 7/17/2004 (22174) (1) ● Then write a paper and prove it - John Vidale 11:05:04 - 7/17/2004 (22177) (1) ● Re: Then write a paper and prove it - EQF 01:33:32 - 7/18/2004 (22179) (1) ● you just wrote as many words as a Nature paper - John Vidale 03:53:23 - 7/18/2004 (22182) (0) |
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