a prediction result from UCLA
Posted by John Vidale on January 08, 2004 at 06:45:33:

It's not easy to fully assess this result, but Prof. Keilis-Borok did issue a specific 9-month window, roughly one-third of northern California area, and the range M 6.4 - 7.4 that completely matched the San Simeon quake.

A hit in Japan last year was equally successful, but could hav more easily happened by chance.

The press does not seem interested so far, probably due to skepticism regarding methods from the rest of the scientific community, and the problematic difficulty of assessing only two filled predictions statistically.

A prediction is currently out for the Mojave and south in the next nine months, and Japan and a part of the Middle East is being monitored, so we should get the to bottom of this method relatively quickly.

John



Follow Ups:
     ● Re: a prediction result from UCLA - Don in Hollister  13:18:36 - 1/9/2004  (21016)  (1)
        ● quick answers - John Vidale  13:34:11 - 1/9/2004  (21017)  (0)
     ● Re: a prediction result from UCLA - Roger Hunter  08:02:12 - 1/8/2004  (20998)  (1)
        ● that's how template was developed - John Vidale  08:50:33 - 1/8/2004  (20999)  (2)
           ● Re: that's how template was developed - Roger Hunter  13:53:43 - 1/8/2004  (21008)  (0)
           ● Re: that's how template was developed - Don in Hollister  13:01:43 - 1/8/2004  (21006)  (1)
              ● different scale of bulls-eye - John Vidale  13:38:53 - 1/8/2004  (21007)  (1)
                 ● Re: different scale of bulls-eye - Don in Hollister  14:38:13 - 1/8/2004  (21009)  (1)
                    ● Re: different scale of bulls-eye - Canie  15:11:07 - 1/14/2004  (21082)  (0)