Re: Jones probability revisited
Posted by Roger Hunter on October 10, 2013 at 21:05:19:

Brian;

Easy enough, you just repeat the process for each prediction, taking into account date range, location range and mag range and recording the odds and hit or miss.

Try doing that for a few million random predictions.

Then we can get into the evaluation math.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Skywise  22:32:58 - 10/10/2013  (101032)  (1)
        ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Roger Hunter  22:42:12 - 10/10/2013  (101033)  (1)
           ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Skywise  22:59:24 - 10/10/2013  (101034)  (1)
              ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Skywise  23:19:03 - 10/10/2013  (101035)  (1)
                 ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Roger Hunter  23:33:13 - 10/10/2013  (101036)  (1)
                    ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Skywise  23:50:23 - 10/10/2013  (101037)  (1)
                       ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Roger Hunter  23:57:52 - 10/10/2013  (101038)  (1)
                          ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Skywise  01:14:29 - 10/11/2013  (101039)  (2)
                             ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Skywise  16:12:09 - 10/11/2013  (101042)  (1)
                                ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Skywise  17:16:18 - 10/11/2013  (101043)  (1)
                                   ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Roger Hunter  18:12:29 - 10/11/2013  (101044)  (1)
                                      ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Skywise  18:29:46 - 10/11/2013  (101045)  (1)
                                         ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Roger Hunter  18:40:24 - 10/11/2013  (101046)  (0)
                             ● Re: Jones probability revisited - Roger Hunter  11:04:02 - 10/11/2013  (101040)  (0)