"A 4.5 mag earthquake near Lake Tahoe has a greater significance than a 4.5 near Tonga."

No argument from me, there, Glen. But, without seeing the original, unedited prediction, and with some knowledge of the predictor's methodology, some of us are extremely skeptical. And, I doubt that the prediction was limited to Lake Tahoe, so it is disingenous to now argue that solely Lake Tahoe's seismicity is important here. With so little to get our teeth into here, a reasonable reference to the extremely high rate of such quakes globally is not uncalled-for.

Michael F. Williams
Arroyo Grande, CA USA