Re: Earthquake prediction for December 2012
Posted by Roger Hunter on December 01, 2012 at 09:50:13:

Amit;

I have all your predictions dating back to 2006 but the NEIC catalog only goes to July 28, 2012 at the present time.

Based on that, you have 64 predictions and only 10 hits, each with a 0.116 chance of success. There would be only 7.4 hits expected with those odds so you did a little better than expected but not enough better to be taken seriously.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Earthquake prediction for December 2012 - Amit  21:58:59 - 12/1/2012  (80671)  (1)
        ● Re: Earthquake prediction for December 2012 - Roger Hunter  22:05:22 - 12/1/2012  (80672)  (1)
           ● Re: Earthquake prediction for December 2012 - Amit  22:53:47 - 12/1/2012  (80675)  (1)
              ● Re: Earthquake prediction for December 2012 - Roger Hunter  07:55:41 - 12/2/2012  (80680)  (1)
                 ● Re: Earthquake prediction for December 2012 - Amit  09:41:00 - 12/3/2012  (80693)  (1)
                    ● Re: Earthquake prediction for December 2012 - Roger Hunter  10:56:59 - 12/3/2012  (80696)  (1)
                       ● Amit is making sense here - Island Chris  06:18:42 - 12/14/2012  (80783)  (0)