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Re: Earthquake prediction for December 2012 |
Amit; The evaluation is based on the prediction. If all 6 are correct you get 100% hits but the significance depends on the probability of success. Getting a hit with a 90% chance of success has little value but a hit with zero probability gets maximum credit. That can happen, too, because the probability is based on a limited sample. Roger Follow Ups: ● Re: Earthquake prediction for December 2012 - Amit 09:41:00 - 12/3/2012 (80693) (1) ● Re: Earthquake prediction for December 2012 - Roger Hunter 10:56:59 - 12/3/2012 (80696) (1) ● Amit is making sense here - Island Chris 06:18:42 - 12/14/2012 (80783) (0) |
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