These are personal opinions.

John,

This is probably difficult for you to believe, but I now have a pivotal role with regard to international earthquake forecasting efforts. Projects that I have been working on are moving forward with increasing speed. There appears to be funding available for these type efforts. But I have not had time to even prepare any proposals. Available time is the limiting factor here.

The point is that when I spend time discussing technical matters with people there has to be some type of return involved. And after many months of trying to answer your questions I cannot see where anything has been gained. A major problem is the fact that I am working with a type of technology which is unfamiliar to geologists such as synthetic tide data and these 30 day and 25 hour earthquake triggering cycles.

In order to be able to make any measurements and participate in these types of discussions at even the most basic level one of the simplest things that you have to be able to do is tell where the subsolar and sublunar points are at any given point in time. And I do not know of even one geologist anywhere on Earth who can presently do that. I myself have to use indirect methods to generate those data. Efforts are underway to develop computer programs capable of generating them.

So, it does not seem to do any good to try to explain things to you in detail. We are talking about different types of technology.

Regarding that expected earthquake, there is a particular western Pacific Ocean area which the people with whom I am talking are concerned about. Important scientific personnel living in that area know the details. I can send you an e-mail note with some information if you wish. Just send me a short e-mail note letting me know.

Regarding the multiples of 7 days delays, this is once again something it is difficult to explain because you do not have access to the necessary data. You have to be able to do those subsolar and sublunar point type calculations.

Briefly, if a strong warning signal is detected and the earthquake does not occur within a few days then it will often occur on a day which is some multiple of 7 days in the future. Multiples of one month delays from the warning signal date are probably the most important. Next in importance would be multiples of one month delays from the 14th day after the signal was detected.

The least important would be multiples of one month delays from the 7th and 21st days after the signal was detected.

An obvious conclusion would be that these delays are related to days when the sun and moon are in the same position in the sky, when they are on exact opposite sides of the Earth, and when the moon is 90 longitude degrees to the east or to the west of the sun in the sky.

My conclusions regarding the importance of those delays are based on my personal observations regarding when earthquakes would occur after a warning signal was detected. I believe that they must have some basis in geophysics. But I do not presently know what it is. Nor does anyone else. My best present theory is that it has to do with strain within the Earth’s crust associated with a type of wobble of the Earth’s core as the Earth rotates around the sun – Earth – moon barycenter each month and as the sun and moon gravity related drag on the Earth’s crust cause it to accelerate or slow down relative to its core.

To check that theory you would need a complex computer program which takes into account the density and size of the Earth’s core compared with its outer layers as well as quite a few other variables. And in view of the fact that researchers around the world are not yet even able to determine where the subsolar and sublunar points are then that means that they are years or decades away from being able to check that theory.