Re: Analysis of flare data
Posted by Roger Hunter on November 01, 2003 at 16:07:01:

Hi Chris;

I'll try again.

I downloaded all 5 or larger quakes from 1973 to early October 2003 from NEIC, a little short of 31 years.

The file contains 47036 quakes and 11233 days for an average of 4.18 per day.

I compared each flare to this database and counted quakes per day for the 30 days following each flare. These data are listed for each flare.

A cumulative count was also made, the total quakes per day for all the flares. This is what is plotted (and listed).

The chi-square calculation is also shown in the output file. Chi-square calculates the amount of deviation between the observed and expected values and a table shows you if the amount is significant and to what degree.

In this case, it shows that the quakes per day vary too much to be represented by an average number, suggesting some kind of effect at work.

Clear?

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● did you remove aftershocks? - John Vidale  11:02:59 - 11/2/2003  (19965)  (1)
        ● Re: did you remove aftershocks? - Roger Hunter  13:17:08 - 11/2/2003  (19969)  (0)
     ● Here's the chi-square calculation - Roger Hunter  16:37:43 - 11/1/2003  (19950)  (1)
        ● Re: Here's the chi-square calculation - EQF  03:25:27 - 11/2/2003  (19957)  (1)
           ● proton storms vs electron storms - chris in suburbia  08:16:14 - 11/2/2003  (19962)  (2)
              ● Re: proton storms vs electron storms - EQF  00:07:41 - 11/3/2003  (19975)  (1)
                 ● Re: proton storms vs electron storms - chris in suburbia  04:12:49 - 11/3/2003  (19976)  (1)
                    ● Re: proton storms vs electron storms - EQF  06:14:24 - 11/3/2003  (19978)  (0)
              ● quick reaction - John Vidale  11:12:41 - 11/2/2003  (19967)  (1)
                 ● Re: quick reaction - chris in suburbia  14:06:53 - 11/2/2003  (19970)  (1)
                    ● Chris; define aftershocks - Roger Hunter  14:58:33 - 11/2/2003  (19972)  (1)
                       ● John, define aftershocks - chris in suburbia  04:17:55 - 11/3/2003  (19977)  (1)
                          ● no particular favorite definition - John Vidale  22:54:12 - 11/3/2003  (19992)  (1)
                             ● Roger-P.S. on aftershocks - chris in suburbia  04:23:52 - 11/4/2003  (19996)  (0)