Re: Planned Philippines earthquake report
Posted by Petra Challus on March 07, 2002 at 21:02:09:

Hi E,

God knows you must be well intentioned, but I'm sorry to tell you an earthquake forecast/prediction must include the following:

Date (window)
Location: City Name/Latitude & Longitude and be within some reasonable range. ie: less than 100 miles
Magnitude: range of the intensity of the quake
Why if possible: why does one think a quake is going to occur in the given location above random chance.

I urge you to read Andrew Michael's web page and it says the same as the above. He's the expert, he knows what it requires and from that, those are the only acceptable parameters.

As you know this web page and many like it give rather a large latitude in predictions/forecasts, but I'm sorry to say I don't think saying an earthquake occurring the Pacific Ocean is going to get a hit anywhere.

Please don't think I'm being cruel, or nit picking, because I'm not. I am honest to a fault, no pun intended and if it has to be my mission in life to help you, then by God I will.

Please print this note and place it near your computer, read it daily and when you can post a prediction/forecast that meets the above requirements, even if you don't get it, I'll be there rooting for you.

By the way, Andy is very nice and I'm sure if you had a conversation with him, he would do all he could to help you. He is so smart you can hardly believe anyone could be so gifted. He's seen it all, understands every facet of anything that has been out there. I learned a lot from him, but unfortunately I can't share any of it with you.

Smile, Its Thursday, Soon To Be Friday. Maybe you'll get a hit on the next big one. You never know.

Petra


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Planned Philippines earthquake report - EQF  23:11:09 - 3/7/2002  (13499)  (1)
        ● Re: Planned Philippines earthquake report - Petra Challus  00:15:36 - 3/8/2002  (13503)  (1)
           ● Re: Planned Philippines earthquake report - EQF  00:35:47 - 3/8/2002  (13505)  (1)
              ● Claims - Lowell  01:46:34 - 3/8/2002  (13507)  (2)
                 ● Re: Claims - EQF  19:11:25 - 3/9/2002  (13537)  (0)
                 ● Re: Update From The Archives - Petra Challus  08:39:21 - 3/8/2002  (13510)  (1)
                    ● Re: Update From The Archives - EQF  19:11:37 - 3/9/2002  (13538)  (0)