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Re: New fault - John V.? |
OK, Jane. I know of no strong correlation between length of existence in a location and competence in a field of geophysics. ("The head earthquake guy of ARK. has been down there awhile"). Nor is the fellow's frustration evidence of anything. The whole subject of Arkansas and New Madrid seismic danger/risk/hazard is very murky. Generally, new engineering and construction requirements (VERY EXPENSIVE ones), have been proposed based on some highly dubious assessments of seismic risk. Extremely long recurrence intervals have been virtually ignored in order to require expensive building improvements. This for buildings with expected lifetimes of 50 years or less, and recurrence intervals of as much as 3000 years. Your friend in Little Rock's experience is not only anecdotal, it is exceptionally suspect even for anecdotal evidence. Certainly there have been no seismic events there that would produce "tiny 'ground waves'" Indeed, even the largest earthquakes do not actually produce visible "ground waves". Reports of such are pretty much due to perceptual phenomena, such as inner ear and emotional inputs. In short, the Director of the Arkansas Earthquake Center at the University of Arkansas, Little Rock was being exceptionally irresponsible in his statements. Nothing about the supposed "new fault" will turn out to have produced any significant increase in the already very low yearly risk of a damaging earthquake in the region. Disclaimer: I am not a professional in any Earth science. Mike Williams Follow Ups: ● Re: New fault - John V.? - Skywise 21:08:01 - 1/23/2009 (74707) (2) ● Re: New fault - John V.? - PennyB 22:54:07 - 1/25/2009 (74724) (1) ● Re: New fault - John V.? - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande 05:33:17 - 1/26/2009 (74725) (0) ● Re: New fault - John V.? - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande 21:58:58 - 1/23/2009 (74708) (2) ● Re: New fault - John V.? - Skywise 21:43:03 - 1/24/2009 (74717) (2) ● strong motion data - John Vidale 22:28:44 - 1/24/2009 (74719) (1) ● Re: strong motion data - Skywise 12:56:49 - 1/26/2009 (74726) (1) ● flexure - John Vidale 15:29:06 - 1/26/2009 (74727) (1) ● Re: flexure - Skywise 17:19:08 - 1/26/2009 (74728) (1) ● slower - John Vidale 22:21:22 - 1/26/2009 (74730) (0) ● Another PS - Skywise 21:45:58 - 1/24/2009 (74718) (0) ● waves in concrete - heartland chris 15:37:16 - 1/24/2009 (74711) (1) ● Re: waves in concrete - Glen 18:33:25 - 1/24/2009 (74715) (0) ● Re: New fault - John V.? - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande 17:59:17 - 1/23/2009 (74706) (1) ● GeoScienceWorld Article on New Madrid S.Z. - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande 05:47:15 - 1/24/2009 (74709) (1) ● Re: GeoScienceWorld Article on New Madrid S.Z. - heartland chris 15:45:34 - 1/24/2009 (74712) (1) ● its an ongoing discussion - John Vidale 22:32:29 - 1/24/2009 (74720) (0) |
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