Dennis:

Your first paragraph regarding a series of 3s in the vast area between Ridgecrest and Mammoth is exactly why I don't take your predictions seriously. The first thing that came to my mind, and the first thing that is going to come to Joe Public's mind is:

"Given two active seismic regions at each end of your area and a chunk-o-land in between, I'd expect a 3.x to occur during the time frame of 4 days! It would be an exception if a 3 had NOT to occured."

Of course, as I keep saying (like a broken record), is that without an exact prediction, which yours was not, your never going to be able to prove to me, or anyone else, that your statement regarding accuracy on two of your three parameters (your claiming 2/3s of a hit in effect) is significant. I, on the other hand, am not going to be able to very my claim as you never provided an exact area in your prediction. So, I just go on thinking your predictions are "garbage" as you call it, and write you off. Of course, had a 4.5 occured somewhere in your vague "Area", I'm sure you would want to claim a huge hit, but, I would call that "garbage" also because you never made a well defined prediction. And, considering your location is so vague, you couldn't even claim a "near hit", which you advocate, because nobody has a clue what area you intended!

Dennis, please don't take my comments in an angry manner. They are meant to be constructive. I would certainly not have taken the last 10 mintues to look into this and respond just for my own health. You really need to put yourself in the shoes of everybody else in the world, and ask yourself, "would I take my prediction seriously?"

Some here feel you have a some sort of workable method. So here think you don't. I hope you are on to something.....

Michael