Posted by Petra on October 08, 2005 at 08:29:51:
Hi All, I think we should all give Shan some credit for indications that the 7.6 earthquake was on it's way. I've collected 3 posts he made in September which together made it clear something was coming between India an Pakistan. While it certainly isn't perfect, it was very much to close to home for him. The most telling of the three posts was his first when he indicated he had posted a prediction on his web site on 9/5 expecting a 7.5 earthquake. While his prediction method may not be perfect yet, to me it shows that this quake did not arrive by surprise and I think that's the most important fact......Petra 2005/10/08 03:50 M 7.6 PAKISTAN Z= 10km 34.43N 73.54E Pakistan-Iran Border quake Posted by R.Shanmugasundram on September 14, 2005 at 22:24:03: Magnitude: 5 to 6+M From: 4.30 UTC 14th Sept. 05 - To: 16.30 UTC 21th Sept. 05 Location: PAKISTAN - IRAN BORDER Lat: 26.8N - Long: 62.3E - Range: 330 KMs Hi all, Another strong precursor was registered viz. 13th and 14th earthmovement hence I made the above predicition. Magnitude of this quake fixed based on 15th Sept. against sunshine available at my end. Changes, if any will be posted accordingly.
India Quake Posted by R.Shanmugasundaram on September 14, 2005 at 22:20:11: Magnitude: 4 to 5+M From: 4.30 UTC 13th Sept. 05 - To: 16.30 UTC 20th Sept. 05 Location: KOYNA, MAHARASHTRA Lat: 17.25N - Long: 73.85E - Range: 330 KMs Hi all, The above prediction was made with the help of two days (not consecutive) sunshine. On analysing the nature of the dip shows 5.5 to 6.5M quake formation. But I have noticed many times, result thereof was reduced magnitude may be due to geological nature of this particular location. Hence I have fixedmagnitude accordingly. Normally secondary location of the above precursor around BHUJ, GUJARAT (23.7N 70.5E) as well as OWEN FRACTURE ZONE REGION (12.6N 54.7E) but this time I am expecting the quake in the Koyna region. Though the quake may occurred within the time window as mentioned above but proably on 16th Sept.05.
This following prediction was already in my website. PREDICTION 9th Sept. 05: 50% Diffused and bright sunlight day Around 6.5 to 7.5M quake over
ARUNACHAL PRADESH INDIA (26.9N 95.3E) .... may occur within next 48 to 180 hours from 04.30 UTC on 8th September 2005. Shan
Follow Ups:
● Re: Let's Give Shan Some Credit For Prediction the 7.6 in India - chris in suburbia 08:55:32 - 10/8/2005 (29127) (1)
● Re: Let's Give Shan Some Credit For Prediction the 7.6 in India - glen 21:45:35 - 10/8/2005 (29136) (2)
● He has been predicting this quake.? - chris in suburbia 05:42:52 - 10/9/2005 (29145) (0)
● Re: Let's Give Shan Some Credit For Prediction the 7.6 in India - Petra 23:10:48 - 10/8/2005 (29138) (1)
● Re: Let's Give Shan Some Credit For Prediction the 7.6 in India - glen 00:01:33 - 10/9/2005 (29140) (1)
● Re: Let's Give Shan Some Credit For Prediction the 7.6 in India - Petra 01:33:47 - 10/9/2005 (29141) (0)
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