Let's Give Shan Some Credit For Prediction the 7.6 in India
Posted by Petra on October 08, 2005 at 08:29:51:

Hi All,

I think we should all give Shan some credit for indications that the 7.6 earthquake was on it's way. I've collected 3 posts he made in September which together made it clear something was coming between India an Pakistan. While it certainly isn't perfect, it was very much to close to home for him.

The most telling of the three posts was his first when he indicated he had posted a prediction on his web site on 9/5 expecting a 7.5 earthquake.

While his prediction method may not be perfect yet, to me it shows that this quake did not arrive by surprise and I think that's the most important fact......Petra

2005/10/08 03:50 M 7.6 PAKISTAN Z= 10km 34.43N 73.54E



Pakistan-Iran Border quake
Posted by R.Shanmugasundram on September 14, 2005 at 22:24:03:
Magnitude: 5 to 6+M
From: 4.30 UTC 14th Sept. 05 - To: 16.30 UTC 21th Sept. 05
Location: PAKISTAN - IRAN BORDER
Lat: 26.8N - Long: 62.3E - Range: 330 KMs
Hi all,
Another strong precursor was registered viz. 13th and 14th earthmovement hence
I made the above predicition. Magnitude of this quake fixed based on 15th Sept.
against sunshine available at my end. Changes, if any will be posted accordingly.



India Quake
Posted by R.Shanmugasundaram on September 14, 2005 at 22:20:11:
Magnitude: 4 to 5+M
From: 4.30 UTC 13th Sept. 05 - To: 16.30 UTC 20th Sept. 05
Location: KOYNA, MAHARASHTRA
Lat: 17.25N - Long: 73.85E - Range: 330 KMs
Hi all,
The above prediction was made with the help of two days (not consecutive)
sunshine. On analysing the nature of the dip shows 5.5 to 6.5M quake
formation. But I have noticed many times, result thereof was reduced magnitude
may be due to geological nature of this particular location. Hence I have fixedmagnitude accordingly.
Normally secondary location of the above precursor around
BHUJ, GUJARAT (23.7N 70.5E) as well as OWEN FRACTURE ZONE REGION (12.6N 54.7E)
but this time I am expecting the quake in the Koyna region.
Though the quake may occurred within the time window as mentioned above but
proably on 16th Sept.05.


This following prediction was already in my website.
PREDICTION 9th Sept. 05:
50% Diffused and bright sunlight day
Around 6.5 to 7.5M quake over

ARUNACHAL PRADESH INDIA (26.9N 95.3E) ....
may occur within next 48 to 180 hours from 04.30 UTC on 8th September 2005.

Shan


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Let's Give Shan Some Credit For Prediction the 7.6 in India - chris in suburbia  08:55:32 - 10/8/2005  (29127)  (1)
        ● Re: Let's Give Shan Some Credit For Prediction the 7.6 in India - glen  21:45:35 - 10/8/2005  (29136)  (2)
           ● He has been predicting this quake.? - chris in suburbia  05:42:52 - 10/9/2005  (29145)  (0)
           ● Re: Let's Give Shan Some Credit For Prediction the 7.6 in India - Petra  23:10:48 - 10/8/2005  (29138)  (1)
              ● Re: Let's Give Shan Some Credit For Prediction the 7.6 in India - glen  00:01:33 - 10/9/2005  (29140)  (1)
                 ● Re: Let's Give Shan Some Credit For Prediction the 7.6 in India - Petra  01:33:47 - 10/9/2005  (29141)  (0)