Shan's Secret Sunlight Calculations
Posted by Ara on September 08, 2005 at 05:50:33:

Shan,

You wrote, "The above prediction [for Micronesia] though it comes under aftershock category as per the experts opinion, I got fresh precursor fulfilling the all the three required parameters, comprising 6th, 7th and 8th Sept. 05 earth movement."

As I said before, the main issue was not whether or not your correlated quake is an "aftershock". It is unnecessary for you to dwell on that issue in discussion with me. In the Honshu case, the quake you chose to correlate was over 3x the stipulated 250km range in your prediction. On top of that, the 6.2M was not the strongest quake in the area, where hundreds of quakes have been occurring since the Aug 16 7.2M (note that most of these quakes are not recorded by USGS).

You responded, "See normally I need 3 days of consecutive sunshine days to fix a quake movement. In this particular case I have received only two days consecutive sunshine days. Hence I have fulfill only 2 parameters i.e. magnitude and time frame."

Interestingly, there were a couple of 3M and 4M quakes near your predicted 33.3N location. (hundreds of quakes have been occurring in this area too, since Sept 2004, mostly unrecorded by USGS).

How do you know that lack of sunlight interfered with your location parameter, rather than your magnitude parameter? (or even time parameter?)

Shan, if I understand you correctly, you are now saying that your Micronesia quake prediction observations had 3 days of sunlight. Perhaps you should indicate in advance which predictions are based on 3 days of sunlight, and which are not.

"Sorry.. at the moment I am unable to disclose all the details [of the method]. But certain extant I am able to clear your doubts."

You are unable clear my doubts without stating clearly EXACTLY what your method is, and how you make calculations based on the observations. If you cannot disclose the method, you should state clearly why that is so.

As Don Hollister remarked it would be helpful to have various stations making observations and calculations, but no one can do that because you are keeping your method secret. Why are you keeping it a big secret, while trying to persuade people to support you?


Follow Ups:
     ● Reply to Ara and Don - R.Shanmugasundaram  07:10:16 - 9/8/2005  (28058)  (1)
        ● Shan, you are working against yourself - Roger Hunter  08:10:14 - 9/8/2005  (28059)  (1)
           ● 7.3 at New Britain  - R.Shanmugasundaram  02:27:56 - 9/9/2005  (28093)  (1)
              ● Re: 7.3 at New Britain  - Roger Hunter  06:21:44 - 9/9/2005  (28097)  (1)
                 ● Re: 7.3 at New Britain  - R.Shanmugasundaram  09:27:43 - 9/9/2005  (28101)  (1)
                    ● Re: 7.3 at New Britain  - Roger Hunter  12:50:05 - 9/9/2005  (28134)  (1)
                       ● Re: 7.3 at New Britain  - R.Shanmugasundaram  09:39:42 - 9/10/2005  (28155)  (1)
                          ● Re: 7.3 at New Britain  - Roger Hunter  11:33:07 - 9/10/2005  (28161)  (1)
                             ● Re: 7.3 at New Britain  - R.Shanmugasundaram  00:58:35 - 9/11/2005  (28163)  (1)
                                ● Re: 7.3 at New Britain  - Roger Hunter  08:15:12 - 9/11/2005  (28166)  (1)
                                   ● Re: 7.3 at New Britain  - R.Shanmugasundaram  04:23:20 - 9/12/2005  (28185)  (0)