mine was a pre-emptive post
Posted by John Vidale on March 28, 2005 at 18:32:13:

Before anyone called this a million-to-one shot, I pointed out that his prediction was missing critical pieces necessary for a rigorous assessment. Still, it's impressively close.

Another pre-emptive shot is that the position of the Sun relative to the Earth is not something Shan can measure well, nor would the local tilt near his house in India matter. So if he is interpreting the position of a shadow, he will have to think hard how it might conceivably relate to impending earthquakes.


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: mine was a pre-emptive post - Cathryn  19:53:53 - 3/28/2005  (25412)  (2)
        ● not an aftershock - John Vidale  20:27:32 - 3/28/2005  (25414)  (1)
           ● Re: not an aftershock - Cathryn  23:46:58 - 3/28/2005  (25418)  (1)
              ● distance, not aftershock, no tsunami - chris in suburbia  04:01:15 - 3/29/2005  (25420)  (1)
                 ● Re: distance, not aftershock, no tsunami - Canie  08:15:57 - 3/29/2005  (25424)  (1)
                    ● flat thrust, no tsunami - chris in suburbia  08:37:39 - 3/29/2005  (25425)  (1)
                       ● no really up on this - John Vidale  21:35:29 - 3/29/2005  (25448)  (0)
        ● Re: mine was a pre-emptive post - Petra  20:03:35 - 3/28/2005  (25413)  (1)
           ● Re: mine was a pre-emptive post - Cathryn  23:48:03 - 3/28/2005  (25419)  (0)