|
Claimed to be ready for prime time |
Petra, geoForecasters has stated some strong claims. If they are overstated, as I strongly suspect they are, and people buy into them, they may set back earthquake prediction efforts another ten years, just as diffusion-dilatancy did in the 1970's. They publicly state they can predict M2 events in California way ahead of time, but have so far offered no proof. They also said they have been able to predict all events greater than 6.5 for the last 18 months. Berkland has been around a decade, and his claims remain to be documented, in fact most scientists consider them debunked. Whitehead has a track record of presenting wild ideas as more founded than they are (check his AGU abstracts), and Kozuch has never written a paper to my knowledge about the physics of earthquakes. John Follow Ups: ● Re: My Oh My - Aren't We Open Minded - Petra Challus 19:08:56 - 2/18/2003 (18061) (1) ● cold facts aren't always friendly - John Vidale 19:49:19 - 2/18/2003 (18062) (2) ● Re: cold facts aren't always friendly - Petra Challus 20:34:13 - 2/18/2003 (18064) (1) ● different approaches - John Vidale 21:25:09 - 2/18/2003 (18067) (1) ● Re: different approaches - Petra Challus 22:38:35 - 2/18/2003 (18068) (1) ● practicality - John Vidale 23:18:14 - 2/18/2003 (18069) (1) ● Re: practicality - Canie 12:04:37 - 2/19/2003 (18080) (1) ● Geoforecaster - chris in suburbia 13:44:56 - 2/20/2003 (18088) (1) ● correlations - John Vidale 14:48:32 - 2/20/2003 (18089) (2) ● Re: Scoring - Canie 23:00:41 - 2/20/2003 (18092) (1) ● automatic hits from loose scoring - John Vidale 06:38:58 - 2/21/2003 (18096) (0) ● I meant only geoF, not Don's work - John Vidale 15:11:31 - 2/20/2003 (18090) (1) ● Re: I meant only geoF, not Don's work - EQF 22:40:17 - 2/20/2003 (18091) (0) ● Re: cold facts aren't always friendly - Don in Hollister 19:56:53 - 2/18/2003 (18063) (1) ● facts are useful - John Vidale 20:40:41 - 2/18/2003 (18065) (0) ● Re: Claimed to be ready for prime time - chris in suburbia 06:57:18 - 2/18/2003 (18055) (1) ● must be Don, not me - John Vidale 07:11:12 - 2/18/2003 (18056) (2) ● Re: must be Don, not me - chris in suburbia 11:48:41 - 2/18/2003 (18060) (0) ● Re: must be Don, not me - Canie 10:49:59 - 2/18/2003 (18059) (1) ● Re: must be Don, not me - Mary C. 09:18:55 - 2/19/2003 (18073) (0) |
|