Contest update - current standings
Posted by Roger Hunter on March 25, 2002 at 10:47:48:

Hi contestants;

I added unknown magnitude events to the search capabilities. I think you'll find this interesting.

Here are the current results:

1 . Canie
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /25 33.35 -118 4.5 9.9 30 Prob. 0%

Best date 2002/03/22 06:55:11.46 33.9667 -117.7348 2.52 0
Best dist 2002/03/19 02:53:15.46 33.8685 -117.8537 2.23 59.174472
Best size 2002/03/22 06:55:11.46 33.9667 -117.7348 2.52 2.52
Best prob 2002/03/18 18:53:31.41 33.8257 -117.6665 2.19 Prob. 0%

2 . Canie
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /25 33.35 -116.5 5 9.9 40 Prob. .436%

Best date 2002/03/22 00:15:44.28 33.6602 -116.7223 0.55 0
Best dist 2002/03/20 19:14:59.37 33.4652 -116.4972 1.63 12.801354
Best size 2002/03/21 03:42:09.93 34.0007 -117.1618 2.88 2.88
Best prob 2002/03/18 02:01:01.78 33.4973 -116.5875 0.67 Prob. .873%

3 . Cathryn
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /25 37.8 -118.7 2 3.5 50 Prob. 99.1%

Best date 2002/03/22 03:30:53.60 38.0525 -118.2142 0
Best dist 2002/03/21 18:29:29.87 37.9183 -118.6570 1.56 13.673631
Best size 2002/03/20 19:27:57.00 38.6500 -119.5500 2.80 2.8
Best prob 2002/03/19 20:36:58.47 38.0415 -118.7855 2.06 Prob. 99.1%

4 . Cathryn
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /25 33.6 -117.9 2 4 50 Prob. 55.8%

Best date 2002/03/22 00:15:44.28 33.6602 -116.7223 0.55 0
Best dist 2002/03/19 02:53:15.46 33.8685 -117.8537 2.23 30.135516
Best size 2002/03/21 03:42:09.93 34.0007 -117.1618 2.88 2.88
Best prob 2002/03/18 18:53:31.41 33.8257 -117.6665 2.19 Prob. 55.8%

5 . Don
2002/3 /18 - 2002/3 /22 39.4 -121.2 1.7 3 35 Prob. 4.91%

Best date 2002/03/19 16:27:02.65 39.4892 -121.5345 1.5
Best dist 2002/03/19 16:27:02.65 39.4892 -121.5345 30.361551
Best size 2002/03/25 07:47:46.45 40.2890 -121.4672 1.81 1.81
Best prob 2002/03/19 16:27:02.65 39.4892 -121.5345 Prob. 7.92%

6 . Don
2002/3 /21 - 2002/3 /25 46.3 13.1 3 4.5 65 Prob. 12.2%

None found.

7 . Petra
2002/3 /20 - 2002/3 /24 36.02 -120.9 2 3.3 40 Prob. 31.6%

Best date 2002/03/22 01:48:24.09 36.6265 -121.2297 1.99 .5
Best dist 2002/03/22 09:24:14.82 36.0272 -120.5742 1.60 29.285634
Best size 2002/03/24 21:12:16.52 36.7777 -121.5053 2.78 2.78
Best prob 2002/03/20 22:48:27.91 36.0185 -120.5695 1.13 Prob. 57.1%

And the new leader is Canie, with a prediction which had no chance of success!

Sorry Cathryn, but I don't think you would feel comfortable winning with a sure thing prediction anyway.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Contest update - current standings - Canie  21:23:24 - 3/25/2002  (14119)  (0)
     ● Re: Contest update - current standings - Lowell  15:05:32 - 3/25/2002  (14103)  (1)
        ● Results for small quake prediction - Roger Hunter  18:36:44 - 3/25/2002  (14108)  (1)
           ● Re: Results for small quake prediction - Lowell  20:04:13 - 3/25/2002  (14113)  (1)
              ● Re: Results for small quake prediction - Roger Hunter  20:31:21 - 3/25/2002  (14115)  (1)
                 ● Re: Results for small quake prediction - Lowell  22:07:51 - 3/25/2002  (14123)  (0)
     ● Re: Contest update - current standings - Lowell  15:04:50 - 3/25/2002  (14102)  (2)
        ● Re: Contest update - current standings - Roger Hunter  18:09:16 - 3/25/2002  (14106)  (1)
           ● Re: Contest update - current standings - Lowell  19:54:50 - 3/25/2002  (14112)  (1)
              ● Aha! I see the problem! - Roger Hunter  21:05:03 - 3/25/2002  (14117)  (1)
                 ● Re: Aha! I see the problem! - Lowell  22:10:26 - 3/25/2002  (14124)  (1)
                    ● Re: Aha! I see the problem! - Roger Hunter  04:24:51 - 3/26/2002  (14130)  (0)
        ● Re: Contest update - current standings - Roger Hunter  16:31:29 - 3/25/2002  (14104)  (0)
     ● Re: Contest update - current standings - Cathryn  11:37:57 - 3/25/2002  (14096)  (1)
        ● Re: Contest update - current standings - Roger Hunter  11:51:20 - 3/25/2002  (14097)  (1)
           ● Re: Contest update - current standings - Cathryn  12:16:38 - 3/25/2002  (14098)  (0)