EQF;

> Some people seem to think that I am attempting to get the U.S. government to develop my personal earthquake forecasting program. That isn’t the case.

It should be.

> I do want to try to get them to check into the nature of the EM Signals that I am working with and perhaps develop better and more accurate ways of detecting them. But I am mainly trying to get the government to stop insisting and even believing that “Earthquakes can’t be predicted.”

They can't be predicted - so far. And millions have been spent trying.

> And they need to start doing some research on a variety of forecasting technologies including Shan’s sun shadow based method.

I have. It doesn't work.

> Unfortunately, one of the problems here is the fact that many forecasters insist that their methods are the only ones that have any value. And every other forecasting technology should be ignored.

Human nature at work.

> Competition like that is normal. But when it involves developing life saving technologies it can be quite destructive. Things don’t get done that should be getting done.

Someone recently suggested that predictions should be combined so that if one can do well on dates, another does well on locations and someone else is good at mags we could get accurate predictions by combining them.

The problem is that no one does well at anything. Petra is the best so far but not good enough to pass my test.

> With another major problem, government officials and scientists are in my opinion so frightened about getting involved with any forecasting work that they have just shut their eyes and ears to anything said to them along those lines. And the insistence that only forecasts that have accurate time, location, and magnitude information attached to them is just another way of hiding from reality.

LOL! In a time of tight budgets you can't sell expensive projects which have small chances of success.

> In fact, disaster mitigation groups would be delighted to simply have some Time Window data so that they could get started on preparing to respond to a destructive earthquake once it occurred. They would not originally need any location or magnitude data. But the government officials and scientists keep hiding from that reality and insisting that any forecast has to have all three of those types of data. They are just looking for some type of certainty so that they can protect themselves. In truth they are simply too lazy and unconcerned about the value of human life to learn how to deal with forecast data in a manner that won’t get them into trouble with the general public.

Leaving the insults aside, without all 3 parameters no one can do anything. Judging from Katrina, they can't do anything effectively knowing all the parameters.

Roger