Chris,

With your forecasting theories you are unfortunately living in an artificial reality world created by scientists and government officials who are basically too lazy and not bright enough to learn how to discuss earthquake forecasts with the general public.

To protect their own interests and keep government officials from getting mad at them and threatening their research grants etc. those scientists around the world have taken the easy way out. They simply say that “Earthquakes can’t be predicted.” Then they don’t have to deal with the subject matter. And they don’t appear to care a hoot about how many people around the world die because of their laziness, as long as their research grants and government agency jobs are protected.

As you yourself admitted, this is happening in the nuclear power and oil industries. And in fact it happens in every field of science and medicine.

The classic historical case of this happening was the one where Galileo was forced by the political powers that be at the time to recant his theories regarding the Earth not being the center of the universe.

My own personal favorite story along those lines has always been about the two medical researchers in Australia who kept telling everyone that ulcers are often caused by bacterial infections, not some physical problem in the digestive system. And they could be cured with the right type of antibiotic.

Medical personnel around the world including top researchers just laughed at them instead of trying some simple experiments that might have demonstrated that the antibiotics did in fact work. That is the type of pressure that the international community can exert to block important advances.

It took those two medial researchers about 10 years to finally prove that they were correct. And then the entire international medical community somehow escaped being blamed for all of the deaths that undoubtedly resulted because they continued operating on people and removing parts of their digestive systems to cure ulcers when some antibiotics could have done the job and saved the lives of many.

It is the same with earthquake forecasting at the moment. And when it is finally “discovered” that earthquakes can in fact be predicted all of the “experts” who are now insisting that they can’t be will magically start saying,

“We never said that earthquakes can’t be predicted. You misunderstood us. What we actually said was …” (Fill in the blank)

Earthquakes appear to be actually fairly easy to predict. You just need to use the right procedures. And the establishment scientists are simply too lazy and not bright enough to learn how to do that just as the establishment medical workers were too lazy and not bright enough to give the antibiotics a try for curing ulcers.

Finally, those two medical researchers were awarded the Nobel prize for medicine, probably not for their antibiotics discovery itself but instead for tenaciously pushing forward in spite of all of the politically correct opposition. But, that very prestigious award did not bring back the lives of any of the ulcer patients who died on the operating table or elsewhere over the years. And when our lazy and not very bright scientists around the world finally admit that earthquakes can be predicted, none of the people who just died in Japan will get their lives back.

These are personal opinions.