Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes.
Posted by Shan on November 04, 2010 at 12:03:11:

This type of indefinite situation about foreshocks are fixed more than 60% correctly with SSD method
which I adopt for a long time. What I am doing is fixing the precursor to the right fault as close as
possible.

Though I repeatedly said I would like to explain once again the difficulty in achieving the accuracy in this
method. After a seismic event, the location as well as the magnitude of the quake was determined by more
than one seismic station located at different directions with the help of P and S wave reaching. Eventhough
they revised the magnitude more than once with more analysis. So the stations with modern equipement
may also need with other stations help to obtain the accuracy to obtain the right result that too one or
two days after the event. You all agreed it is quite ok.

But in my case, with the only one SSD observatory, I am fixing the event location as close as possible
that too before the event. Yes..I understand it may harmful if the location is slightly different, but around 60%
of the event occurs close to the fault as predicted. I know you will stick on your side and not accepted this
result.

Ok.. what I am insisting here is I need more observatories with my specific requirement and linked them
each other through internet. If I subsequently anayse the precursor obtained from other observatories, then
I will choose the right fault and magnitude which will yield accuracy as per our need.

But you must understand that the recent Sumatra and many more events I have posted with just only one day
SSD readings due to lack of sunshine, which does not yield the required result. (Ofcourse.. some prime work at
the elevanth hour I am also away from my observatory). But if I miss or hesistate to post it in my website or
to the expert's boards like this one, after the event, I am unable to answer to my conscience.

Before making a comment, just understand the practical difficulties I am facing. Please note that I am not a retired
person and without a family and my concentration to my work as well as society involvement also playing a major
role which please be noted. Happy Diwali (tomorrow)..! A festivel of lights...yes.. my light.

Shan


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Roger Hunter  16:55:48 - 11/4/2010  (77722)  (2)
        ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Shan  05:34:40 - 11/5/2010  (77726)  (1)
           ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Roger Hunter  09:07:22 - 11/5/2010  (77727)  (0)
        ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - EQF  03:42:42 - 11/5/2010  (77723)  (1)
           ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Roger Hunter  09:12:17 - 11/5/2010  (77728)  (1)
              ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Shan  11:12:29 - 11/5/2010  (77729)  (1)
                 ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Roger Hunter  11:42:49 - 11/5/2010  (77731)  (1)
                    ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Shan   18:32:13 - 11/5/2010  (77736)  (1)
                       ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Roger Hunter  19:15:56 - 11/5/2010  (77737)  (2)
                          ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - EQF  10:43:28 - 11/6/2010  (77740)  (2)
                             ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Skywise  12:37:01 - 11/6/2010  (77742)  (1)
                                ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Roger Hunter  20:58:19 - 11/6/2010  (77744)  (1)
                                   ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - EQF  22:36:25 - 11/6/2010  (77746)  (1)
                                      ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Roger Hunter  06:49:49 - 11/7/2010  (77748)  (1)
                                         ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - EQF  22:46:26 - 11/8/2010  (77760)  (1)
                                            ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Roger Hunter  08:16:41 - 11/9/2010  (77762)  (0)
                             ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Roger Hunter  11:38:45 - 11/6/2010  (77741)  (1)
                                ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Shan  20:46:18 - 11/6/2010  (77743)  (1)
                                   ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Roger Hunter  21:01:23 - 11/6/2010  (77745)  (1)
                                      ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Shan  04:08:56 - 11/7/2010  (77747)  (0)
                          ● Re: Seismometers are not predicting earthquakes. - Shan  06:35:33 - 11/6/2010  (77739)  (0)