Time Window Peaks January 15, 2010
Posted by EQF on January 15, 2010 at 02:03:09:

Hi Roger,

All of that information has been explained in great detail in reports at my Web site.

You need to remember how much time and energy all of this is taking and how much work still needs to be done. For example, I still need to finish preparing that new FreeBasic program that can be used to import those Chart A picture files so that longitudes can be easily determined. That one effort will take a full day of work to get the freeware copyright information stored in it and a Web page prepared explaining how to download and use the program.

However, since you asked,

Those Time Window lines on Chart A can represent as many as 200 individual EM Signal averaged together to produce a single composite Time Window line representing 15, 45, or 90 days worth of signals.

So, if 10 of the signals in a given Time Window were pointing to an earthquake that was going to occur at 50 E longitude then there would hopefully be a peak on the Time Window line at 50 E. If another 10 pointed to an earthquake that was going to occur at 122 W then there would hopefully be a peak on that same line at 122 W, and on and on. Peaks associated with more than one approaching earthquake should be visible on any given Time Window line.

Each line represents more than 100 earthquakes that were the best matches for the EM Signals in that Time Window. So there could be quite a few peaks on a given Time Window line. The theory is that the 15 day Time Window will point to only those earthquakes that are generating EM Signals right now. The 90 day windows will still contain EM Signal data for earthquakes that occurred one or two months in the past.

It is necessary to average the signals together like that to eliminate the somewhat random looking fluctuations associated with individual EM Signals. It would be even better to use the triangulation process to determine fault zone location rather than the probability equation base computer programs that I am presently using. But I don’t have a lab filled with electronic instrumentation and cannot presently triangulate the signals.

Line peak activity can always be expected around 140 E because earthquakes are constantly occurring in the Japan area. Probably the only times there would not be any peaks at all in that area are when one or more earthquakes getting ready to occur elsewhere are generating so many strong EM Signals that they overpower any signals associated with Japan area earthquakes.

EM Signal are preferentially generated with the sun and moon are in the right positions. So, they can appear for some approaching earthquake for a few weeks and then disappear as the sun and moon get out of position. Then they may appear again later before the earthquake finally occurs.

A major problem that we are now having is that people in the international scientific community have been content for so long with saying that since we cannot yet tell exactly when and where every earthquake is going to occur, we can’t predict earthquakes. That statement is frighteningly and dangerously inaccurate. As I have said earlier, disaster mitigation groups for example need only roughly know when a significant earthquake is going to occur. Where and what magnitude information can be obtained after they have already packed their bags and are ready to get on the plane.

As a consequence of people insisting for so long that earthquakes can’t be predicted, no one anywhere (except perhaps in parts of the People’s Republic of China) appears to have any idea regarding what to do when some type of useful forecasting information does become available. And now that my forecasting program is running fairly well I am having to contact people around the world and explain to them how to interpret and make use of the forecast data.


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Time Window Peaks January 15, 2010 - Roger Hunter  08:59:09 - 1/15/2010  (76436)  (1)
        ● Re: Time Window Peaks January 15, 2010 - EQF  10:13:07 - 1/15/2010  (76439)  (1)
           ● Re: Time Window Peaks January 15, 2010 - Roger Hunter  10:39:11 - 1/15/2010  (76440)  (1)
              ● Re: Time Window Peaks January 15, 2010 - Tony  11:06:30 - 1/15/2010  (76443)  (1)
                 ● Re: Time Window Peaks January 15, 2010 - Roger Hunter  11:16:31 - 1/15/2010  (76445)  (2)
                    ● Re: Time Window Peaks January 15, 2010 - Tony  11:47:40 - 1/15/2010  (76448)  (1)
                       ● Re: Time Window Peaks January 15, 2010 - Roger Hunter  12:18:50 - 1/15/2010  (76452)  (0)
                    ● Re: Time Window Peaks January 15, 2010 - PennyB  11:47:28 - 1/15/2010  (76447)  (1)
                       ● Re: Time Window Peaks January 15, 2010 - Roger Hunter  12:13:18 - 1/15/2010  (76451)  (0)