Well, at least we're having a meaningful discussion!

Do you really have any idea what "subjective" means?

A magnitude calculation is not subjective. An average is not subjective. my probability calculations are not subjective.

No, I don't know Scot Krueger or anyone in the tectonophysics group.

Which measurements are "right"? All of them, usually. Do they all agree? No, for the reasons you mention. The math has built-in procedures for way out values.

Predictions can handle India by the way they assign the area.

Yes, your example is a miss AS PREDICTED. Bigger limits would have caught it. The prediction was wrong. Sticking with it is objective; saying "well, this quake SHOULD fit" is subjective.

Your final example is why I wrote the best-fit program. I agree that predictors need to know what might fit so they can revise their methods.

But when a prediction is made, it is right or wrong. Period. The probability is different for the best-fitting quake. They might be saying "Boy, I'm pretty good" when the best-fitting quake has a 90% chance.

Roger