Re: Musson's method in action
Posted by Roger Hunter on February 16, 2006 at 23:03:21:

Petra;

Jim has one primary window per month (roughly) which is his published prediction. He gets a particular score with them in terms of quakes captured or number of correct predictions.

I've shown I can do just about as good with randomly chosen windows.

That proves Jim has no special skill. It's all just luck.

My detailed study will be published in Skeptical Inquirer magazine. Don't know when yet.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Musson's method in action - Petra  20:28:30 - 2/17/2006  (33854)  (0)
     ● Re: Musson's method in action, SCEC...John V? - chris in suburbia  13:00:22 - 2/17/2006  (33847)  (1)
        ● haven't followed the details - John Vidale  16:39:54 - 2/17/2006  (33849)  (1)
           ● Re: haven't followed the details - Roger Hunter  06:45:08 - 2/18/2006  (33864)  (0)