Re: Use or non-use of scientific method
Posted by Pat In Petaluma on May 31, 2000 at 12:41:43:

Dennis,

This is a great observation and in setting up any method of forecasting, its important to lay out the boundaries one intends to work within.

While it is very useful for Antonio to use the Lt/Lg figures, for the average reader, placing those coordinates with the name of a nearby city makes it far easier to understand. So I agree that if one wishes to do so, fine.

Along with this one has to state clearly their acceptable requirements for a hit would be XYZ and lay out a foundation and thus those who might judge the outcome have parameters to work within. As with Jim he has said within 140 miles and that's his standard. At this stage of the game, I don't think one has to be quite so exacting, but we need some idea of the intent of the forecaster.

In other words, for me, if I say Lake Pillsbury, I mean that on the USGS maps its going to say Lake Pillsbury. I can be within a few miles of the area, but thats the site. To be at the Geysers or Cloverdale is not acceptable.

Good discussion topic...Pat


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Use or non-use of scientific method - Dennis Gentry of Santa Clarita  13:10:30 - 5/31/2000  (3029)  (1)
        ● Re: Use or non-use of scientific method - Pat In Petaluma  17:36:39 - 5/31/2000  (3030)  (1)
           ● Re: Use or non-use of scientific method - Dennis Gentry in Santa Clarita  19:27:00 - 5/31/2000  (3032)  (1)
              ● Re: Use or non-use of scientific method - Pat In Petaluma  22:39:30 - 5/31/2000  (3033)  (1)
                 ● Volcanic tremors - Dennis Gentry of Santa Clarita  13:13:30 - 6/1/2000  (3039)  (0)