Re: Alaska Projection Failure
Posted by Roger Hunter on October 03, 2005 at 19:37:13:

Glen
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Lunar Gravitational Forces - In my findings of past earthquakes in the Alaska region, I have found that 62.5% of the 7+ quakes happened in conjunction with one of the four lunar phases, including syzygy, but also 90 degree orbital situations of first and last quarter moons. This is the test of lunar gravitational force. The upcoming perigee/apogee - full moon/new moon nexus is as strong as any in recent years. Let's see if it happens.
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I thought from this that you were.

Let me show you why you shouldn't.
If the tide has a 7 foor range that is an increase or decrease of 12,505,135,104 pounds per square mile.
If a quake has a depth of 6 miles the weight of a square mile column of basalt 6 miles tall is 1.6603929e+14 pounds
So the weight of water changes the load by only 0.00075%

Not much of a trigger even for such a shallow quake.

> Should historic earthquake events be used to project furture seismic activity? Or do we throw history out?

Well, the history of predictions made that way is nothing to brag about.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Alaska Projection Failure - chris in suburbia  12:23:45 - 10/5/2005  (29000)  (1)
        ● Re: Alaska Projection Failure - Roger Hunter  13:07:26 - 10/5/2005  (29020)  (1)
           ● Re: Alaska Projection Failure - chris in suburbia  15:04:11 - 10/5/2005  (29028)  (1)
              ● Re: Alaska Projection Failure - Roger Hunter  21:02:19 - 10/5/2005  (29032)  (0)
     ● Re: Alaska Projection Failure - glen  20:13:47 - 10/3/2005  (28943)  (1)
        ● Re: Alaska Projection Failure - Roger Hunter  20:31:14 - 10/3/2005  (28944)  (1)
           ● Re: Alaska Projection Failure - glen  20:53:10 - 10/3/2005  (28945)  (2)
              ● Re: Alaska Projection Failure - Petra  21:47:25 - 10/3/2005  (28947)  (0)
              ● Re: Alaska Projection Failure - Roger Hunter  20:54:51 - 10/3/2005  (28946)  (0)