Don

Yeah, teamwork!

You are right on using the odds, and that is one reason I have focused on the area including your sites since Prodigy Classic closed. I called mine a guess.

What I am fascinated with is that the electron flux dips seem to provide a time interval (up to 4 hours for 6M and plus quakes) and a chance at calling quake magnitudes at or above 6M.

Here is another opportunity, as the red line has dropped from the median nearly two hash marks, then went at 24:00 into the sharp dips. If I am right, this means another 6M or better by 04:00 on 1/16 UTC. The odds area again in the target areas you mentioned, but I would suggest southeast of the 6.2M in New Ireland down to Loyalty Islands as more likely.

Today's Digest points to the South Pacific (SoPac) as the most active single area on the globe, thus my guestimate.

Your comments are most welcome. This solar electron flux thing needs some fine tuning, and I am waiting to see how the next solar proton storm affects it. In particular I wonder how we would know when the baseline is changed, since it would look like a rise or dip. Such would be a false indication of anything, of course.

Donald