Chris and all

Here are the latest two posts from Dave Thomson from Pinpoint looking at where these Loyalty Island big quakes may go.

I just did some further research into the locations of 7+ magnitude quakes
following the "big lurch" near the Loyalty Islands. Within a month of the
1980 big lurch there was a magnitude 7.2 near Eureka, CA. Within 6 months
from the 1995 big lurch there was an 8.0 in South America and several 7+
magnitudes in Central America.

There were also 7+ magnitude quakes around the planet during these times,
none of this is unusual of itself. But in both periods following the big
lurch, world wide seismic activity did tend to increase significantly with
quakes of all magnitudes.

I've already seen many other signs for a San Francisco big one this month,
and the big lurch is just one more factor that could contribute to it.

Dave

> -----Original Message-----
> From: David Thomson [mailto:dave@volantis.org]
> Sent: Saturday, January 03, 2004 9:26 PM
> To: Cynthia Page; Pinpoint
> Subject: RE: [Pinpoint EQ News] Getting Strong Quakes in Loyalty Islands
>
>
> Hi Cynthia,
>
> I just did a search for all the magnitude 5 and greater quakes since 1973.
> This area has been slipping in large lurches in October 1980 and May 1995.
> It appears to be starting up another major lurch.
>
> Soon after the 1995 lurch the New Britain Islands in Papua New Guinea were
> reported to be sinking at the rate of one foot per year. I'll bet we read
> about the islands sinking again later this year.
>
> It is worth pointing out that from 1980 to 1995 is 15 years, and from 1995
> to 2003 is 8 years. Not only did this period of lurching occur
> only 8 years
> after the last major lurch, but the magnitudes of the quakes appear to be
> stronger this time around. We may be witnessing a major earth change in
> progress.
>
> Dave