Re: EARTHQUAKE CLOUDS & Prediction
Posted by Petra Challus on October 21, 2002 at 22:24:23:

Hi 2 Cents,

Interesting site if you know who runs it? Who does run it?

I've read a lot about earthquake cloud theory in the past and so far it seems there has not been enough repeatable data on a regular basis to form a conclusion as to whether the predictions made by this method are above random chance. While we can view the successes made, we don't see what other predictions were not successful. This is a common problem which exists in all forms of prediction.

The other hot topic of debate amongst those who support prediction is funding. While some will say there isn't enough funding to make a valiant effort toward a succesful launching of a project, the other half will say that if we haven't spent enough money on it now, how much more should one throw at the lack of success. Globally over $400,000,000 has been spent in the last twenty years with no solid success stories. So which camp is correct?

Actually both. Camp A is correct in stating that new projects have little chance of success because even though an approach might be made in a new way, the funding for the new approach is difficult to gather. Camp B is correct in assuming that there are no new approaches, so why spend any more money on the same old routine.

Therefore, we should form Camp C. Camp C is done by the low cost or no cost approach. It requires volunteers who are willing to work together with multidisciplinary theories and use what monitoring is already available and make use of what they have the most of; intelligence.

The current division which exists between scientists in their specialties leaves them constantly divided about working together when for the most part they can't agree that all of them may be right. This in my point of view is what sets success in this undertaking leapyears away.

While the Cloud Theory may produce one piece of the puzzle, there is no reason other methods could not be combined with it to support it or otherwise. But you'll never know until the day arrives when a unit of dedicated individuals decides to work in a united humanitarian effort to find the solution to this deadly problem.

I think I gave five cents here...Ooops! Petra


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: EARTHQUAKE CLOUDS & Prediction - 2cents  07:12:39 - 10/25/2002  (17156)  (0)
     ● Re: EARTHQUAKE CLOUDS & Prediction - Roger Hunter  04:59:31 - 10/22/2002  (17108)  (1)
        ● Re: EARTHQUAKE CLOUDS & Prediction - Don In Hollister  10:00:18 - 10/22/2002  (17109)  (0)