Probability Calc -Re: Morongo Valley Earthquake (Ml 3.3)
Posted by 2cents on July 02, 2002 at 19:44:56:

Using Roger's Test_pro program the following results for 33-35N 115-125 W in a 10 day window:

"There were 1096 windows and 4486 quakes. Of these, 881 contained one or more quakes. This is a probability of 80.38 percent."

IOW, this one had an 80 % chance of happening.

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test_pro.zip - Computes probability using Dr. Alan Jones' observed probability method. Works on NEIC searches only.

Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Probability Calc -Re: Morongo Valley Earthquake (Ml 3.3) - Lowell  21:50:28 - 7/3/2002  (16200)  (2)
        ● Re: Probability Calc -Re: Morongo Valley Earthquake (Ml 3.3) - 2cents  14:47:12 - 7/4/2002  (16203)  (0)
        ● Re: Probability Calc -Re: Morongo Valley Earthquake (Ml 3.3) - Lowell  22:17:35 - 7/3/2002  (16201)  (2)
           ● Re: Probability Calc -Re: Morongo Valley Earthquake (Ml 3.3) - Roger Hunter  15:20:48 - 7/4/2002  (16205)  (1)
              ● Re: Probability Calc -Re: Morongo Valley Earthquake (Ml 3.3) - chris in suburbia  09:25:03 - 7/5/2002  (16210)  (2)
                 ● Re: Probability Calc -Re: Morongo Valley Earthquake (Ml 3.3) - Canie  16:05:46 - 7/5/2002  (16214)  (0)
                 ● Re: Probability Calc -Re: Morongo Valley Earthquake (Ml 3.3) - Roger Hunter  12:51:53 - 7/5/2002  (16213)  (0)
           ● Re: Probability Calc -Re: Morongo Valley Earthquake (Ml 3.3) - Roger Hunter  10:29:37 - 7/4/2002  (16202)  (0)