Hi Roger:

It's not the numbers I proposed but rather the idea. The idea is that all evaluations should be tied directly, and fairly, to the magnitude. It's the fairness between magnitudes that I disagree with using your current method. 10 times the radius of a 3.0 prediction of 1000km is silly. 10 times the radius of an 8.0 prediction of 10 km is very realistic. So, 10 times the radius, REGARDLESS of magnitude, makes no sense to me. Same thing applies to the windows. A window of 3x10 days for a 2.0, or 30 days for a 2.0 is way too liberal. 3x1 day, or 3 days for a 8.0 is a very constraining evaluation. The evaluations of a 3.0 and an 8.0 has to be treated with equal fairness.

Michael

Michael