Cathryn, this is the address for a note which I posted earlier regarding a proposed earthquake forecasting computer program. More information regarding the geophysics behind that program can be found in the second report listed here:

Earthquake forecasting computer program - preliminary discussion
http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/13763.html

How To Develop An Earthquake Forecasting Program
http://www.freewebz.com/eq-forecasting/127.html

My data indicate to me that if that program were operational today then perhaps it might enable us to forecast some or perhaps many of the destructive earthquakes which are occurring around the world.

On the other hand, it might not work. There is only one way to tell. And that is to develop it and see what happens.

Earthquakes reportedly claim some 10,000 lives per year. That is roughly one life per hour, 24 hours a day, 365 days a year. And so, if you assume that the program could actually help us forecast earthquakes then you might propose that for each hour that it does not exist, one human life is being lost.

Obviously, the thing to do is to focus on getting it developed and tested. I am expecting that such an effort might keep 3 computer programmers busy for a while. And then a team of say a dozen geophysicists, seismologists, and geologists would need to decide on how the program should process the precursor data. One scientist who I regard as being one of the top geology people on Earth (this person does not post notes here) has already volunteered to help with one part of the effort.

My personal earthquake forecasting program is operational. I am using this bulletin board as a resource for circulating progress reports. And I need to focus on seeing if I can get that other program developed. My first formal attempt (made 2 years ago) to get a U.S. government agency to develop it was not successful. And I am now getting ready for a second try. I recommend that you and other people posting notes to this board forget about demanding to see an earthquake forecast. That computer program could be much more important than any one forecast.