ANSWERS for your questions
Posted by EQF on March 14, 2002 at 20:35:43:

FIRST of all, I have stated repeatedly that if you would like me to answer questions regarding these topics at this bulletin board then you must stay within certain safety guidelines. And the main one is to use EQF with your posts when you refer to one of mine. I see that you did that. So, we are past that step.

SECOND, this is a tremendously complex subject. And progress is being made in a number of different directions, one step at a time. For example, during the past year I had to go through two major computer changes just to get the computing power that I needed as my data evaluation programs became increasingly complex. Those changes involved transferring thousands of data points from one computer to another and one spreadsheet program to another. They also involved converting hundreds of computer program equations from one format to another.

THIRD, the following information will hopefully answer your question. If it does not then you can ask for additional information. I will also add that these are my personal opinions.

EARTHQUAKE AND PRECURSOR DATA

The types of data which I am using to forecast earthquakes are stored in the following files which I believe just about anyone, anywhere in the world who has access the Internet can see at any time of the day or night:

Seismic Activity And Storm Data
http://www.freewebz.com/eq-forecasting/131.html
http://www.freewebz.com/eq-forecasting/132.html

The bold text lines are earthquake data. The standard text lines are precursor data. And, many of those precursor signals appear to me to be pointing to earthquakes which are going to occur near populated areas.

The forecasting procedure which I am using involves comparing those precursor data points with past earthquakes. When there is a good match it indicates to me that another earthquake might be about to occur where the previous one occurred.

What I recommend that you do is check for any highly destructive earthquakes listed on those pages that you wish. And I believe that in most cases you will find that there were one or more precursor signals which were detected before the earthquake which had numbers which matched those of the earthquake.

Take the destructive January 26, 2001 earthquake in India for example. It has the number code: 010126-2 on that list. The numbers for the precursor data point with the code 010125-7 have about the same numbers as the earthquake. Or, look at the destructive January 13, 2002 earthquake in El Salvador which has the number code 010113-2. The precursor signal with the code 010111-3 had numbers which were fairly close.

And so in my opinion, those precursors are in many cases pointing to where the earthquakes are going to occur. The difficult part is with determining BEFORE the earthquake, exactly where those precursor data are pointing.

Using an earlier and far less accurate version of my present data matching procedures, if I remember correctly, on May 27, 1998 I posted an seismic activity advisory to the sci.geo.earthquakes Newsgroup which stated that I was watching for seismic activity possibly in either Iran or Afghanistan to occur between May 26, and May 30, 1998 (it can take some time for reports about earthquakes to circulate). And on May 30 an earthquake in Afghanistan reportedly claimed some 5000 lives.

You can see the data which I used to make that forecast on that 132.html page. Their number codes are: 980130-1, 980130-2, 980204-1, 980526-1, 980526-2, 980526-3, and finally 980530-1 which was the May 30 earthquake.

Had the data evaluation procedure which I was using back at that time been as advanced as the one which I am presently using I believe that I might have been able to tell people EXACTLY where that May 30 earthquake was going to occur. And perhaps some of those 5000 lives might have been saved.

Copies of my May 27 sci.geo.earthquakes advisory should be out there somewhere. Remember, that the advisory represents copyrighted information. And I believe that you would need to get my permission before copying it to this bulletin board. If people are interested I will see if I can find a copy myself.

I DID tell the appropriate people where I thought that that destructive March 5, 2002 earthquake in the Philippines was going to occur. And my location turned out to be fairly close. Some 15 lives were still lost from what I have heard. But, I can only circulate warning data. I do not have the resources needed to actually generate a formal warning capable of getting people out of their homes and into temporary shelters. In my opinion that is the responsibility of our governments.

And so, there is my PROOF.

Now I will submit the following to you and to any of the other people who are visiting this bulletin board:

Those 131.html and 132.html lists contain hundreds of precursor and earthquake data points. And I am collecting new precursor data points at a rate of perhaps 2 per day on the average. So, if you yourself you can develop a high accuracy procedure for telling from those types of precursor data where an earthquake is going to occur, and you can do that BEFORE the earthquake occurs then great! Let me know how that can be done. And I believe that can state with a fair amount of certainty that I will then be able to tell you where a good percentage of our destructive earthquakes are going to occur.

You may have some difficulty understanding the information at that Web site. But I know from what I have been told by other people that the data evaluation procedures being discussed there ARE understandable. However, if you read over the explanations and you still have some questions about them then ask. You can post a note here or send me an e-mail letter through the Web site.

I am of the opinion that certain types of “ear tone” data collected from people around the world could probably also be evaluated with those types of procedures. And the ear tones would then point to where some of our earthquakes were going to occur.

It is my intention to once again begin storing those precursor data at that Web site if and when time permit. First I have to finish converting all of the “T” (ocean tide) data listed there to a different reference frame. And that and other steps will take some time. If and when I do begin storing them there again then you yourself can try using them to determine where earthquakes are going to occur just as I am presently doing.

Finally on this, my current theory is that a computer program can be developed which would make it possible to quickly evaluate those types of precursor data and make those types of determinations. And I am presently engaged in an effort to try to get such a program developed. Watch for an announcement regarding that in a future post to this bulletin board.

Once again, there is nothing particularly secret about this. My data and theories are listed at that site and my other Web site. But as I said, the main problem is that this is a tremendously complex subject. I have been working on this for years. And things have been moving forward slowly, one step at a time.


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: ANSWERS for your questions - Kate  08:24:16 - 3/15/2002  (13749)  (1)
        ● Re: ANSWERS for your questions - EQF  01:52:19 - 3/16/2002  (13759)  (1)
           ● Re: ANSWERS for your questions - Kate  08:44:50 - 3/16/2002  (13771)  (1)
              ● Re: ANSWERS for your questions - EQF  01:12:43 - 3/17/2002  (13813)  (1)
                 ● Re: ANSWERS for your questions - Cathryn  01:45:06 - 3/17/2002  (13814)  (1)
                    ● Re: ANSWERS for your questions - Canie  21:12:40 - 3/17/2002  (13859)  (1)
                       ● Re: ANSWERS for your questions - Cathryn  16:22:33 - 3/18/2002  (13908)  (0)
     ● Re: ANSWERS for your questions - Don In Hollister  22:48:06 - 3/14/2002  (13743)  (1)
        ● Re: ANSWERS for your questions - EQF  23:36:25 - 3/14/2002  (13746)  (1)
           ● Re: ANSWERS for your questions - Don In Hollister  23:51:11 - 3/14/2002  (13748)  (0)