Re: Absolutely STUNNING Earthquake Forecasting Data – November 15, 2013
Posted by Roger Hunter on November 16, 2013 at 20:55:59:

EQF;

Here's a start for you.

This table shows the number of 6.5+ quakes in each 5 degree band of longitude
and the odds on such a quake being there (count/total).

Now you need to provide a similar table showing the number of time a peak in
one of the bands was followed by a mag 6.5+ quake within some reasonable time
such as a month. Also count the number of times a peak showed up, with or without
a quake. Then you can total up the number of peaks and divide the hits by the
total to get a similar percentage.

If your answers are larger than the odds in my table you have proof of skill.

Roger


-180 -175 -170 -165 -160 -155 -150 -145 -140 -135 -130 -125
74 73 12 7 4 12 1 5 2 1 7 16
.050 .049 .008 .005 .003 .008 .001 .003 .001 .001 .005 .011

-120 -115 -110 -105 -100 -95 -90 -85 -80 -75 -70 -65
5 11 7 12 24 12 16 25 19 34 60 17
.003 .007 .005 .008 .016 .008 .011 .017 .013 .023 .041 .012

-60 -55 -50 -45 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5
5 2 1 3 3 3 7 14 15 5 1 1
.003 .001 .001 .002 .002 .002 .005 .009 .010 .003 .001 .001

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
4 2 0 2 7 16 11 4 5 7 7 13
.003 .001 .000 .001 .005 .011 .007 .003 .003 .005 .005 .009

60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115
12 5 20 8 13 4 13 24 29 16 6 6
.008 .003 .014 .005 .009 .003 .009 .016 .020 .011 .004 .004

120 125 130 135 140 145 150 155 160 165 170 175
51 91 42 37 69 69 83 60 51 64 61 18
.035 .062 .028 .025 .047 .047 .056 .041 .035 .043 .041 .012



Follow Ups:
     ● lots of active volcanoes in Indonesia - Island Chris  07:34:28 - 11/17/2013  (101379)  (0)
     ● Re: Absolutely STUNNING Earthquake Forecasting Data – November 15, 2013 - EQF  05:58:36 - 11/17/2013  (101376)  (2)
        ● Re: Absolutely STUNNING Earthquake Forecasting Data – November 15, 2013 - Roger Hunter  09:20:09 - 11/17/2013  (101384)  (0)
        ● Etgtab Program - November 17, 2013 - EQF  06:31:07 - 11/17/2013  (101377)  (1)
           ● Re: Etgtab Program - November 17, 2013 - Roger Hunter  09:14:04 - 11/17/2013  (101383)  (1)
              ● Re: Etgtab Program - November 17, 2013 - EQF  10:32:20 - 11/17/2013  (101387)  (1)
                 ● Re: Etgtab Program - November 17, 2013 - Roger Hunter  11:05:37 - 11/17/2013  (101389)  (1)
                    ● Re: Etgtab Program - November 17, 2013; Found converter - Roger Hunter  11:18:17 - 11/17/2013  (101390)  (1)
                       ● Re: Etgtab Program - November 17, 2013; Found converter - EQF  13:18:13 - 11/17/2013  (101391)  (1)
                          ● Re: Etgtab Program - November 17, 2013; Found converter - Roger Hunter  16:57:27 - 11/17/2013  (101394)  (0)