Re: 6.4 quake on 4 th Oct 2013
Posted by Roger Hunter on October 06, 2013 at 18:45:30:

Brian;

I tracked it down to the probability. The odds as calculated show a 60/40 better result but if I change the odds by 0.007 the condition reverses.

So this is not a code error, it's a condition beyond my control. I knew probability was critical but I did not know how sensitive it was and I do not know what to do about it.

Any suggestions?

Roger

Follow Ups:
     ● Re: 6.4 quake on 4 th Oct 2013 - Skywise  20:35:38 - 10/6/2013  (100994)  (1)
        ● Re: 6.4 quake on 4 th Oct 2013 - Roger Hunter  20:49:38 - 10/6/2013  (100995)  (1)
           ● Re: 6.4 quake on 4 th Oct 2013 - Skywise  21:53:17 - 10/6/2013  (100996)  (1)
              ● Re: 6.4 quake on 4 th Oct 2013 - Skywise  22:21:51 - 10/6/2013  (100997)  (2)
                 ● Re: 6.4 quake on 4 th Oct 2013; correction - Roger Hunter  22:27:44 - 10/6/2013  (100999)  (1)
                    ● Re: 6.4 quake on 4 th Oct 2013; correction - Skywise  22:36:29 - 10/6/2013  (101000)  (1)
                       ● Re: 6.4 quake on 4 th Oct 2013; correction - Roger Hunter  23:11:45 - 10/6/2013  (101001)  (1)
                          ● Re: We beter take this to email - Roger Hunter  23:13:25 - 10/6/2013  (101002)  (1)
                             ● Re: We beter take this to email - Skywise  00:02:41 - 10/7/2013  (101003)  (1)
                                ● Got it... - Skywise  00:29:41 - 10/7/2013  (101004)  (2)
                                   ● Re: Got it...maybe - Roger Hunter  10:26:41 - 10/7/2013  (101008)  (1)
                                      ● Re: Got it...maybe - Skywise  14:20:39 - 10/7/2013  (101010)  (1)
                                         ● Re: Got it...maybe - Roger Hunter  15:00:08 - 10/7/2013  (101012)  (1)
                                            ● Re: Got it...maybe - Skywise  15:07:25 - 10/7/2013  (101013)  (1)
                                               ● Re: Got it...maybe - Roger Hunter  16:38:06 - 10/7/2013  (101014)  (1)
                                                  ● Re: Got it...maybe - Skywise  22:32:32 - 10/7/2013  (101015)  (1)
                                                     ● Re: Got it...maybe - Roger Hunter  23:41:53 - 10/7/2013  (101016)  (1)
                                                        ● Re: Got it...maybe - Skywise  00:26:29 - 10/8/2013  (101017)  (1)
                                                           ● Re: Got it...maybe - Roger Hunter  00:54:16 - 10/8/2013  (101018)  (0)
                                   ● Re: Got it... - Island Chris  08:43:46 - 10/7/2013  (101006)  (2)
                                      ● Re: Got it... - Skywise  14:22:09 - 10/7/2013  (101011)  (0)
                                      ● Re: Got it... - Roger Hunter  10:20:24 - 10/7/2013  (101007)  (0)
                 ● Re: 6.4 quake on 4 th Oct 2013 - Roger Hunter  22:26:43 - 10/6/2013  (100998)  (0)