Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect..
Posted by Roger Hunter on January 16, 2013 at 10:22:01:

I heard a similar example recently.

Suppose a particular event has odds of 1/1,000,000.

Given the number of things happening, such an event will happen to you on average every 35 days.

I didn't get all the supporting details but that's the gist of it.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - AMIT  11:25:07 - 1/16/2013  (100101)  (1)
        ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Roger Hunter  12:11:52 - 1/16/2013  (100103)  (1)
           ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Amit  20:16:33 - 1/16/2013  (100107)  (2)
              ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Skywise  20:53:46 - 1/16/2013  (100109)  (0)
              ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Roger Hunter  20:28:32 - 1/16/2013  (100108)  (2)
                 ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Amit  22:29:41 - 1/16/2013  (100112)  (1)
                    ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Roger Hunter  23:22:45 - 1/16/2013  (100113)  (1)
                       ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Amit  19:48:44 - 1/17/2013  (100116)  (1)
                          ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Roger Hunter  20:03:07 - 1/17/2013  (100118)  (1)
                             ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Amit  08:55:42 - 1/18/2013  (100120)  (2)
                                ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Roger Hunter  09:41:47 - 1/18/2013  (100122)  (0)
                                ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Roger Hunter  09:26:21 - 1/18/2013  (100121)  (1)
                                   ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Amit  10:42:33 - 1/18/2013  (100123)  (1)
                                      ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Roger Hunter  12:28:22 - 1/18/2013  (100124)  (2)
                                         ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Amit  13:06:55 - 1/18/2013  (100126)  (1)
                                            ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Roger Hunter  13:50:13 - 1/18/2013  (100127)  (0)
                                         ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Amit  12:56:32 - 1/18/2013  (100125)  (0)
                 ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Roger Hunter  21:14:43 - 1/16/2013  (100110)  (1)
                    ● Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect.. - Skywise  22:22:49 - 1/16/2013  (100111)  (0)