Re: Northern Sumatra 8M suspect..
Posted by Skywise on January 16, 2013 at 20:53:46:

How many times correct out of ten that would be considered random chance depends very much on the individual probability of each event.

If all the events are high probability, easy to guess, then random chance might require getting 9 out of 10 correct.

If all the events are low probability, then random chance might mean 3 out of 10.

Statistics is not an intuitive thing to understand. It doesn't always "make sense".

Brian