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Dons prediction |
Here is what Don wrote: Hi Makis. This isn’t an earthquake forecast per say, but you should see a quake or two in these areas on or about 08/26/2001 and 08/29/2001. Magnitudes will be 3.5M to 4.5M. Locations are 38.4S/21.1E. This location is in Southern Greece. This should be on the 26th. The second location is 36.9S/21.7E. This should be on the 29th. This is about 1 mile south of Pilos. Not knowing the area that good I will give this a radius of 80Km. I would look for the quakes starting on 08/24/2001 to 09/01/2001. Take Care...Don in creepy town" Don's first prediction deals with the Ionian Sea subduction which has the highest seismicity rate in Eurasia (a magnitude 4 almost every week) and i found 2 of the largest events recorded by NOA around his coordinates (38.4S/21.1E) but not around the 26th as predicted 2001 AUG 30 21 28 26.8 37.75/20.03 Mlocal=4.4 The Second prediction concerned Southern Greece (36.9S/21.7E) around the 29th and i found only one just last night on the 3rd (5 days overdue) 2001 SEP 3 03 35 31.1 36.95/21.93 Mlocal=2.8 (The event lists of NOA at http://www.gein.noa.gr) So it is hard for me to follow Lowels evaluation "Posted by Lowell on September 02, 2001 at 17:45:03: Before the board moved Don had some forecasts which had not yet GREECE - Made to Chouliaras on Aug 23, 2001 (#9031) O: 30Aug2001 21:28:27 37.9N 20.2E MB=4.5 NEIS IONIAN SEA O: 01Sep2001 23:59:01 (PDT) 36.9N 21.5E mb=5.4 SED SOUTHERN GREECE Both within 80 km. These events occur at about 80 km and 66 km (or less than 20 km) I would also like to add that these are not "the largest earthquakes" of this summer when compared to the one on 26/7/2001 with M=6.5 (USGS). because earthquakes with magnitude around 4 occur every few days in Greece. Follow Ups: ● Data Sources - Lowell 13:16:27 - 9/3/2001 (9229) (0) ● Re: Dons prediction - Don in Hollister 10:13:31 - 9/3/2001 (9224) (1) ● Greek data - G.Chouliaras 11:22:13 - 9/3/2001 (9225) (2) ● Re: Greek data - Petra Challus 12:16:15 - 9/3/2001 (9228) (0) ● Re: Greek data - Don in Hollister 11:41:41 - 9/3/2001 (9226) (0) |
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