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Re: Italy Muzzled Scientist Who Predicted? This should prompt some debate |
This is an ongoing argument about quake prediction, alas. Until we have a reliable way to predict quakes within a few days...OR until we have a totally educated populace with quake-proof buildings, this is going to be difficult. Some folks have predicted that MORE people would die from evacuations, looting, etc. if a quake were predicted too far in advance. Or worse--who is going to be liable if the quake doesn't happen. We hve pretty good tornado prediction in the US, and yet still a lot of people don't heed them. I wonder if the people of L'Aquila and surroundings would have handled this prediction in a reasonable manner? A month of fear and evacuations? I have no answers for this. The Chinese prediction in the 70s, and subsequent evacuations saving lives, was useful only because it was a very regulated society at the time.
Follow Ups: ● Re: What about just publishing an ongoing percentage? - Tony 20:03:28 - 4/6/2009 (75083) (1) ● Re: What about just publishing an ongoing percentage? - PennyB 13:36:11 - 4/7/2009 (75094) (0) ● Lots of MT Solutions - Glen 19:43:04 - 4/6/2009 (75082) (1) ● W MT - John Vidale 21:38:51 - 4/6/2009 (75085) (2) ● Got it, thanx - Glen 20:44:14 - 4/7/2009 (75095) (0) ● more prediction details - John Vidale 23:01:52 - 4/6/2009 (75086) (1) ● Re: more prediction details - Michael Tolchard 12:36:05 - 4/7/2009 (75093) (0) |
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