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Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method |
First, what is your position in all this? Are you simply a non-interested 3rd party who simply sees an opportunity to fill a need for a small select group of individuals? Or are do you have some sort of vested interested in this database? Do you make predictions? Do you analyze predictions? The reason I ask is that there are those who will make accusations regarding accuracy of the archive due to any bias (either direction) on your part. There WILL be claims of inaccuracy or out right editing. How do plan to address this issue? Second, although I think your idea has great merit, something which will make your effort almost pointless. That is, many predictors have a vested interest in NOT archiving their predictions. Or, if they are archived, they do not want to be tied down to such demanding criteria. Therefore, they will not use it. Brian Follow Ups: ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Michael Tolchard 14:35:43 - 3/11/2009 (74844) (1) ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Skywise 20:04:07 - 3/11/2009 (74849) (2) ● Luke Thomas - Michael Tolchard 01:28:33 - 3/12/2009 (74851) (1) ● Re: Luke Thomas - Skywise 23:13:06 - 3/12/2009 (74880) (0) ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Michael Tolchard 01:09:55 - 3/12/2009 (74850) (1) ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Roger Hunter 06:29:35 - 3/12/2009 (74853) (1) ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Michael Tolchard 09:48:13 - 3/12/2009 (74856) (1) ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Roger Hunter 10:27:22 - 3/12/2009 (74859) (1) ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Skywise 23:16:04 - 3/12/2009 (74881) (1) ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Roger Hunter 09:29:18 - 3/13/2009 (74883) (1) ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Skywise 20:13:20 - 3/13/2009 (74888) (1) ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Roger Hunter 20:42:15 - 3/13/2009 (74889) (1) ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Skywise 00:03:54 - 3/14/2009 (74890) (0) |
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