Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method
Posted by Skywise on March 10, 2009 at 22:22:10:

First, what is your position in all this? Are you simply a non-interested 3rd party who simply sees an opportunity to fill a need for a small select group of individuals? Or are do you have some sort of vested interested in this database? Do you make predictions? Do you analyze predictions?

The reason I ask is that there are those who will make accusations regarding accuracy of the archive due to any bias (either direction) on your part. There WILL be claims of inaccuracy or out right editing. How do plan to address this issue?

Second, although I think your idea has great merit, something which will make your effort almost pointless. That is, many predictors have a vested interest in NOT archiving their predictions. Or, if they are archived, they do not want to be tied down to such demanding criteria. Therefore, they will not use it.

Brian


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Michael Tolchard  14:35:43 - 3/11/2009  (74844)  (1)
        ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Skywise  20:04:07 - 3/11/2009  (74849)  (2)
           ● Luke Thomas - Michael Tolchard  01:28:33 - 3/12/2009  (74851)  (1)
              ● Re: Luke Thomas - Skywise  23:13:06 - 3/12/2009  (74880)  (0)
           ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Michael Tolchard  01:09:55 - 3/12/2009  (74850)  (1)
              ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Roger Hunter  06:29:35 - 3/12/2009  (74853)  (1)
                 ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Michael Tolchard  09:48:13 - 3/12/2009  (74856)  (1)
                    ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Roger Hunter  10:27:22 - 3/12/2009  (74859)  (1)
                       ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Skywise  23:16:04 - 3/12/2009  (74881)  (1)
                          ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Roger Hunter  09:29:18 - 3/13/2009  (74883)  (1)
                             ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Skywise  20:13:20 - 3/13/2009  (74888)  (1)
                                ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Roger Hunter  20:42:15 - 3/13/2009  (74889)  (1)
                                   ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Skywise  00:03:54 - 3/14/2009  (74890)  (0)