Re: Purto Rico and earthquakes
Posted by heartland chris on February 08, 2007 at 17:29:38:

Barbara, I neither work on statistics of earthquakes nor do I read any/many scientific articles about tides vs earthquakes, but I think the entry you quote almost certainly is false false false. John Vidale does work on these things and he has repeatedly posted that there is only a tiny effect (and I think it needs special conditions). Yes, I am aware of the Tolstoy article on speading center seismicity correlated with earth tides (?) but have not read this. When you are talking about M7s and a huge significance (60% during 14% of year at maximum tides) it is really very easy for someone who works in the field to check this.

So, I'll argue that Puerto Rico is near/along a plate boundary, so like California is prone to quakes, but that there is about zero reason to think that you will get a large quake in a particular week. So, enjoy the trip, but if you do happen to have a quake that shakes for a minute or longer, get away from the beach....and as fast as you can.
Chris


Follow Ups:
     ● Axial Volcano - Glen  05:46:23 - 2/9/2007  (62679)  (1)
        ● source - Barbara  07:11:51 - 2/9/2007  (62680)  (3)
           ● A quick look.... - Roger Hunter  21:21:00 - 2/9/2007  (62689)  (2)
              ● Re: A quick look.... - Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande  13:19:02 - 2/13/2007  (62758)  (1)
                 ● Re: A quick look.... - Barbara  04:07:40 - 2/14/2007  (62768)  (0)
              ● Re: A quick look.... - Cathryn  11:54:24 - 2/10/2007  (62693)  (0)
           ● don't change your vacation plans - John Vidale  19:06:49 - 2/9/2007  (62687)  (0)
           ● Re: source: need Vidale again - heartland chris  18:27:04 - 2/9/2007  (62686)  (0)