|
As a reminder Alan offered to do evaluations |
Alan Jones already has the software to handle the evaluation of earthquake predictions where he uses the catalogs contained on CD's. Basically, the progam Alan wrote, would count how many windows had a hit over a some 20 year+ catalogue. Meaning that if a prediction had a 10 day window, he would count how many 10 day windows had an earthquake within the prediction area and get the probability from that. Note that this method also reduced the number of aftershocks that were counted thereby reducing how many quakes get counted. And its all done mechanically without human intervention. If a prediction area had a previously large quake, he would use the Jones/Reasonburgh formulae to add in the probability of an aftershock. Alan had previously posted out here that if anyone was really interested in getting evaluated, they could email him a copy of the prediction and he would follow it up out here. If anybody is so inclined, you can search for Alan on this board to get additional information and his email address. Dennis Follow Ups: ● Alan - Michael 23:13:52 - 1/3/2001 (4374) (1) ● Re: Alan - Dennis Gentry of Santa Clarita 10:19:10 - 1/4/2001 (4378) (1) ● Question Dennis? - Bob Shannon 06:43:57 - 1/5/2001 (4389) (1) ● Re: Question Dennis? - Dennis Gentry of Santa Clarita 10:02:43 - 1/5/2001 (4390) (0) |
|